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Climate Change Impact Assessment on Green and Blue Water over Asian Monsoon Region

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  • Moon-Hwan Lee
  • Deg-Hyo Bae

Abstract

This study evaluates the climate change impacts on water availability over Asian monsoon region. The water availability is analyzed based on the changes in green water and blue water for the 3 future periods (2020s: 2010~2039, 2050s: 2040~2069, and 2080s: 2070~2099) relative to the reference period (1977~2006) at each climate zone classified by Koppen climate classification method. To analyze the water availability, a hydrological model was constructed by using the observed climate, hydrological and topographical data (DEM, soil and land use). The water availability was evaluated in terms of green and blue water in all climate zones for the reference period using the observed data and for the future periods using climate change scenarios. The results show that the annual average green water is projected to increase approximately 2.6 ~ 14.6 % for the future period (2080s) in all climate zones and the annual average blue water will increase approximately 9.1 ~ 26.7 % in most of the climate zones except for some Cs and Ds climate zones. However, the monthly average blue water in winter dry zones i.e., Aw, Cw and Cf, will decrease about 2.8 ~ 28.9 % during December to April for 2080s and those at summer dry zones i.e., Cs and Ds, will decrease about 7.1 ~ 30.8 % during March to September for 2080s. On the other hand, the blue water in Am, Aw, Cw, Cf and Dw zones will greatly increase during summer season. These results reveal that the water availability in most of the Asian monsoon region is expected to increase in the future. However, the necessity to manage the water resources in arid regions and to control flood risks in wet regions is inevitable. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

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  • Moon-Hwan Lee & Deg-Hyo Bae, 2015. "Climate Change Impact Assessment on Green and Blue Water over Asian Monsoon Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2407-2427, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:29:y:2015:i:7:p:2407-2427
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-015-0949-3
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    1. J. Duncan & J. Dash & P. Atkinson, 2013. "Analysing temporal trends in the Indian Summer Monsoon and its variability at a fine spatial resolution," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(1), pages 119-131, March.
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    2. Sha Li & Wei Liang & Weibin Zhang & Qinghua Liu, 2016. "Response of Soil Moisture to Hydro-meteorological Variables Under Different Precipitation Gradients in the Yellow River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(6), pages 1867-1884, April.
    3. Subbarao Pichuka & Rajib Maity, 2020. "Assessment of Extreme Precipitation in Future through Time-Invariant and Time-Varying Downscaling Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(5), pages 1809-1826, March.
    4. Deg-Hyo Bae & Toshio Koike & Jehangir Awan & Moon-Hwan Lee & Kyung-Hwan Sohn, 2015. "Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources and Susceptible Zones Identification in the Asian Monsoon Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5377-5393, November.
    5. Bhumika Uniyal & Madan Jha & Arbind Verma, 2015. "Assessing Climate Change Impact on Water Balance Components of a River Basin Using SWAT Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(13), pages 4767-4785, October.
    6. Moon-Hwan Lee & Deg-Hyo Bae & Eun-Soon Im, 2019. "Effect of the Horizontal Resolution of Climate Simulations on the Hydrological Representation of Extreme Low and High Flows," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(13), pages 4653-4666, October.
    7. Zafar Hussain & Zongmin Wang & Jiaxue Wang & Haibo Yang & Muhammad Arfan & Daniyal Hassan & Wusen Wang & Muhammad Imran Azam & Muhammad Faisal, 2022. "A comparative Appraisal of Classical and Holistic Water Scarcity Indicators," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(3), pages 931-950, February.

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