IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/stpapr/v62y2021i5d10.1007_s00362-020-01188-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A self-normalization break test for correlation matrix

Author

Listed:
  • Ji-Eun Choi

    (Ewha University)

  • Dong Wan Shin

    (Ewha University)

Abstract

We construct a new test for correlation matrix break based on the self-normalization method. The self-normalization test has practical advantage over the existing test: easy and stable implementation; not having the singularity issue and the bandwidth selection issue of the existing test; remedying size distortion problem of the existing test under (near) singularity, serial dependence, conditional heteroscedasticity or unconditional heteroscedasticity. This advantage is demonstrated experimentally by a Monte-Carlo simulation and theoretically by showing no need for estimation of complicated covariance matrix of the sample correlations. We establish the asymptotic null distribution and consistency of the self-normalization test. We apply the correlation matrix break tests to the stock log returns of the companies of 10 largest weight of the NASDAQ 100 index and to five volatility indexes for options on individual equities.

Suggested Citation

  • Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2021. "A self-normalization break test for correlation matrix," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2333-2353, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:62:y:2021:i:5:d:10.1007_s00362-020-01188-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s00362-020-01188-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00362-020-01188-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00362-020-01188-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lobato I. N., 2001. "Testing That a Dependent Process Is Uncorrelated," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1066-1076, September.
    2. Dominik Wied & Daniel Ziggel & Tobias Berens, 2013. "On the application of new tests for structural changes on global minimum-variance portfolios," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 955-975, November.
    3. Adams, Zeno & Glück, Thorsten, 2015. "Financialization in commodity markets: A passing trend or the new normal?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 93-111.
    4. Matei Demetrescu & Dominik Wied, 2019. "Testing for constant correlation of filtered series under structural change," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 22(1), pages 10-33.
    5. Le, Vu & Wang, Qing, 2014. "Robust thresholding for Diffusion Index forecast," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(1), pages 52-56.
    6. Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2015. "Testing for structural breaks in correlations: Does it improve Value-at-Risk forecasting?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 135-152.
    7. Fang Duan & Dominik Wied, 2018. "A residual-based multivariate constant correlation test," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(6), pages 653-687, August.
    8. Nicholas M. Kiefer & Timothy J. Vogelsang & Helle Bunzel, 2000. "Simple Robust Testing of Regression Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 695-714, May.
    9. Peter N. Posch & Daniel Ullmann & Dominik Wied, 2019. "Detecting structural changes in large portfolios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1341-1357, April.
    10. Shao, Xiaofeng & Zhang, Xianyang, 2010. "Testing for Change Points in Time Series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(491), pages 1228-1240.
    11. Goncalves, Silvia & White, Halbert, 2005. "Bootstrap Standard Error Estimates for Linear Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 970-979, September.
    12. Chun Yip Yau & Zifeng Zhao, 2016. "Inference for multiple change points in time series via likelihood ratio scan statistics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(4), pages 895-916, September.
    13. Shao, Xiaofeng, 2010. "The Dependent Wild Bootstrap," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(489), pages 218-235.
    14. Galeano, Pedro & Wied, Dominik, 2014. "Multiple break detection in the correlation structure of random variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 262-282.
    15. Wied, Dominik & Krämer, Walter & Dehling, Herold, 2012. "Testing For A Change In Correlation At An Unknown Point In Time Using An Extended Functional Delta Method," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(3), pages 570-589, June.
    16. Adams, Zeno & Glueck, Thorsten, 2014. "Financialization in Commodity Markets: A Passing Trend or the New Normal?," Working Papers on Finance 1413, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Aug 2015.
    17. Dominik Wied, 2017. "A nonparametric test for a constant correlation matrix," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1157-1172, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hong, Yongmiao & Linton, Oliver & McCabe, Brendan & Sun, Jiajing & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "Kolmogorov–Smirnov type testing for structural breaks: A new adjusted-range based self-normalization approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Choi, Ji-Eun & Shin, Dong Wan, 2020. "A self-normalization test for correlation change," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    2. Horváth, Lajos & Rice, Gregory & Zhao, Yuqian, 2022. "Change point analysis of covariance functions: A weighted cumulative sum approach," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    3. Sylvia Gottschalk, 2023. "From Black Wednesday to Brexit: Macroeconomic shocks and correlations of equity returns in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2843-2873, July.
    4. Georgios Bampinas & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2017. "Oil and stock markets before and after financial crises: A local Gaussian correlation approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(12), pages 1179-1204, December.
    5. Hong, Yongmiao & Linton, Oliver & McCabe, Brendan & Sun, Jiajing & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "Kolmogorov–Smirnov type testing for structural breaks: A new adjusted-range based self-normalization approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    6. Adams, Zeno & Füss, Roland & Glück, Thorsten, 2017. "Are correlations constant? Empirical and theoretical results on popular correlation models in finance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-24.
    7. Pedro Galeano & Dominik Wied, 2017. "Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 26(2), pages 331-352, June.
    8. Duan, Fang, 2022. "Forecasting risk measures based on structural breaks in the correlation matrix," Ruhr Economic Papers 945, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    9. Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2015. "Testing for structural breaks in correlations: Does it improve Value-at-Risk forecasting?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 135-152.
    10. Choi, Ji-Eun & Shin, Dong Wan, 2019. "Moving block bootstrapping for a CUSUM test for correlation change," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 95-106.
    11. Bampinas, Georgios & Panagiotidis, Theodore & Politsidis, Panagiotis N., 2023. "Sovereign bond and CDS market contagion: A story from the Eurozone crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    12. Kim, Seonjin & Zhao, Zhibiao & Shao, Xiaofeng, 2015. "Nonparametric functional central limit theorem for time series regression with application to self-normalized confidence interval," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 277-290.
    13. Zifeng Zhao & Feiyu Jiang & Xiaofeng Shao, 2022. "Segmenting time series via self‐normalisation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(5), pages 1699-1725, November.
    14. Josua Gösmann & Daniel Ziggel, 2018. "An innovative risk management methodology for trading equity indices based on change points," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(2), pages 99-109, March.
    15. Sun, Jiajing & Hong, Yongmiao & Linton, Oliver & Zhao, Xiaolu, 2022. "Adjusted-range self-normalized confidence interval construction for censored dependent data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    16. Ordu-Akkaya, Beyza Mina & Soytas, Ugur, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy and financialization of commodities," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    17. Fang Duan & Dominik Wied, 2018. "A residual-based multivariate constant correlation test," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(6), pages 653-687, August.
    18. Kearney, Fearghal & Shang, Han Lin & Sheenan, Lisa, 2019. "Implied volatility surface predictability: The case of commodity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    19. Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Burggraf, Tobias & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2020. "Financialisation of natural resources & instability caused by risk transfer in commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    20. Hoga, Yannick, 2017. "Monitoring multivariate time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 105-121.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:62:y:2021:i:5:d:10.1007_s00362-020-01188-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.