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Introducing model uncertainty by moving blocks bootstrap

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  • Andrés Alonso
  • Daniel Peña
  • Juan Romo

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  • Andrés Alonso & Daniel Peña & Juan Romo, 2006. "Introducing model uncertainty by moving blocks bootstrap," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 167-179, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:47:y:2006:i:2:p:167-179
    DOI: 10.1007/s00362-005-0282-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrés Alonso & Daniel Peña & Juan Romo, 2003. "Resampling time series using missing values techniques," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 55(4), pages 765-796, December.
    2. Chatfield, Chris, 1993. "Calculating Interval Forecasts: Reply," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(2), pages 143-144, April.
    3. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2002. "Bootstrapping Smooth Functions of Slope Parameters and Innovation Variances in VAR (∞) Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 43(2), pages 309-332, May.
    4. Chatfield, Chris, 1993. "Calculating Interval Forecasts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(2), pages 121-135, April.
    5. R. J. Bhansali, 1983. "A Simulation Study of Autoregressive and Window Estimators of the Inverse Correlation Function," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 32(2), pages 141-149, June.
    6. Hirotugu Akaike, 1969. "Fitting autoregressive models for prediction," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 21(1), pages 243-247, December.
    7. Lutz Kilian, 1998. "Accounting for Lag Order Uncertainty in Autoregressions: the Endogenous Lag Order Bootstrap Algorithm," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(5), pages 531-548, September.
    8. Masarotto, Guido, 1990. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 229-239, July.
    9. Pascual, Lorenzo & Romo, Juan & Ruiz, Esther, 2001. "Effects of parameter estimation on prediction densities: a bootstrap approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 83-103.
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    Cited by:

    1. João Henrique G. Mazzeu & Gloria González-Rivera & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2020. "A bootstrap approach for generalized Autocontour testing Implications for VIX forecast densities," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(10), pages 971-990, November.
    2. Anna Staszewska-Bystrova & Peter Winker, 2016. "Improved bootstrap prediction intervals for SETAR models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 89-98, March.
    3. João Henrique Gonçalves Mazzeu & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2018. "Uncertainty And Density Forecasts Of Arma Models: Comparison Of Asymptotic, Bayesian, And Bootstrap Procedures," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 388-419, April.
    4. Ernest Fokoue & Bertrand Clarke, 2011. "Bias-variance trade-off for prequential model list selection," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 813-833, November.
    5. Wanbo Lu & Rui Ke, 2019. "A generalized least squares estimation method for the autoregressive conditional duration model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 123-146, February.
    6. Nicholas Apergis & Michael L. Polemis, 2016. "Competition and efficiency in the MENA banking region: a non-structural DEA approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(54), pages 5276-5291, November.
    7. A. R. Nematollahi & A. R. Soltani & M. R. Mahmoudi, 2017. "Periodically correlated modeling by means of the periodograms asymptotic distributions," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1267-1278, December.
    8. Halkos, George E. & Tzeremes, Nickolaos G., 2011. "A conditional nonparametric analysis for measuring the efficiency of regional public healthcare delivery: An application to Greek prefectures," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 73-82.
    9. Gonçalves Mazzeu, Joao Henrique & Ruiz Ortega, Esther & Veiga, Helena, 2015. "Model uncertainty and the forecast accuracy of ARMA models: A survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1508, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    10. Sroka Łukasz, 2022. "Applying Block Bootstrap Methods in Silver Prices Forecasting," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 26(2), pages 15-29, June.

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