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Resource allocation for regional earthquake risk mitigation: a case study of Tehran, Iran

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  • Pantea Vaziri
  • Rachel Davidson
  • Linda Nozick
  • Mahmood Hosseini

Abstract

This paper presents a new optimization model to help cities in seismically active developing countries decide (1) How much to spend on pre-earthquake mitigation versus waiting until after an event and paying for reconstruction or simply not rebuilding damaged buildings? (2) Which buildings to mitigate and how? and (3) Which buildings to reconstruct and how? It extends previously developed optimization models to consider the particular issues that arise in such countries. First, the model allows for the possibility that some damaged buildings will not be reconstructed immediately and keeps track of any lost building inventory. Second, buildings can be mitigated to, or when damaged, reconstructed to, any appropriate structural type and seismic design level. Finally, the model objectives include minimizing the chance of an extremely high death toll in any one earthquake and minimizing the average annual death toll across earthquakes. The model is illustrated through a case study analysis for Tehran, Iran. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

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  • Pantea Vaziri & Rachel Davidson & Linda Nozick & Mahmood Hosseini, 2010. "Resource allocation for regional earthquake risk mitigation: a case study of Tehran, Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 53(3), pages 527-546, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:53:y:2010:i:3:p:527-546
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-009-9446-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Richard Bernknopf & Paul Amos, 2014. "Measuring earthquake risk concentration for hazard mitigation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(3), pages 2163-2192, December.
    2. Ehud Segal & Maya Negev & Eran Feitelson & Danielle Zaychik, 2017. "Devising ‘policy packages’ for seismic retrofitting of residences," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(1), pages 497-519, October.
    3. Jiazhen Peng & Xiaojun Shan & Yang Gao & Yohannes Kesete & Rachel Davidson & Linda Nozick & Jamie Kruse, 2014. "Modeling the integrated roles of insurance and retrofit in managing natural disaster risk: a multi-stakeholder perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 1043-1068, November.
    4. Alper Döyen & Necati Aras, 2019. "An Integrated Disaster Preparedness Model for Retrofitting and Relief Item Transportation," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1031-1068, December.
    5. Filippova, Olga & Noy, Ilan, 2018. "Preventing buildings from falling down: Challenges for earthquake-strengthening policy in small-town New Zealand," Working Paper Series 6961, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    6. Filippova, Olga & Noy, Ilan, 2018. "Preventing buildings from falling down: Challenges for earthquake-strengthening policy in small-town New Zealand," Working Paper Series 20317, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.

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