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Developmental Trajectories of Aggressive and Non-Aggressive Conduct Problems

Author

Listed:
  • Barbara Maughan

    (Kings College, Medical Research Council Child Psychiatry Unit and Social Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Research Centre, Institute of Psychiatry)

  • Andrew Pickles

    (University of Manchester, School of Epidemiology and Health Science and Centre for Census and Survey Research)

  • Richard Rowe

    (Kings College, Medical Research Council Child Psychiatry Unit and Social Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Research Centre, Institute of Psychiatry)

  • E. Jane Costello

    (Duke University Medical Center, Developmental Epidemiology Center, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences)

  • Adrian Angold

    (Duke University Medical Center, Developmental Epidemiology Center, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences)

Abstract

Modeling the heterogeneous trajectories along which antisocial behaviordevelops in childhood and adolescence may contribute in important waysto understanding antecedents of offending in adult life. This paperexamines the development of aggressive and non-aggressive conduct problemsin the Great Smoky Mountains Study of Youth, a longitudinal study in thesoutheastern United States. Aggressive and non-aggressive conduct problemsof clinical severity, police contact and arrest, and family andenvironmental correlates were assessed in four annual interviews for789 boys and 630 girls aged 9–13 at first interview. The bestfitting latent class model identified three developmental trajectories:stable low problem levels, stable high problem levels, and declining levelsof conduct problems, for both aggressive and non-aggressive behaviors. Boyswere over-represented in the stable high trajectory class on the aggressivetrajectory, but sex differences in non-aggressive trajectories were lessmarked. The overlap between aggressive and non-aggressive trajectory classeswas quite limited. Both classifications showed strong associations withrisks of police contact and arrest in early adolescence, and with measuresof family adversity. The results are discussed in relation to developmentalmodels of conduct disorder and delinquency.

Suggested Citation

  • Barbara Maughan & Andrew Pickles & Richard Rowe & E. Jane Costello & Adrian Angold, 2000. "Developmental Trajectories of Aggressive and Non-Aggressive Conduct Problems," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 199-221, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:joqcri:v:16:y:2000:i:2:d:10.1023_a:1007516622688
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1007516622688
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sophia Rabe-Hesketh & Andrew Pickles & Colin Taylor, 2000. "Generalized linear latent and mixed models," Stata Technical Bulletin, StataCorp LLC, vol. 9(53).
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    Cited by:

    1. Cesar J. Rebellon & Irwin Waldman, 2003. "Deconstructing “Force and Fraud”: An Empirical Assessment of the Generality of Crime," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 303-321, September.
    2. Laura Dugan, 2002. "Identifying Unit-Dependency and Time-Specificity in Longitudinal Analysis: A Graphical Methodology," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 213-237, September.
    3. Elaine P. Eggleston & John H. Laub & Robert J. Sampson, 2004. "Methodological Sensitivities to Latent Class Analysis of Long-Term Criminal Trajectories," Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-26, March.

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