IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/ijlaec/v59y2016i4d10.1007_s41027-017-0072-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A cross causal analysis of employment and economic growth in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Modinat O. Olusoji

    (Centre for Management Development)

Abstract

This paper employs the Toda–Yamamoto Causality Test to investigate the causal relationship between economic growth and employment in Nigeria. Quarterly data from 1991 Q1 to 2013 Q1 was used to carry out the analysis. It was discovered that there is no causality from the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to employment but there is causality from employment to GDP during the period of analysis. It was concluded that efforts should be geared toward tackling the problem of unemployment in Nigeria by sensitising the population to the windows of opportunities available for job creation while fixing the power supply problems to generate more employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Modinat O. Olusoji, 2016. "A cross causal analysis of employment and economic growth in Nigeria," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 59(4), pages 553-562, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ijlaec:v:59:y:2016:i:4:d:10.1007_s41027-017-0072-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s41027-017-0072-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s41027-017-0072-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s41027-017-0072-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Saltz, Ira & Cebula, Richard, 1997. "An Empirical Investigation into the Causes of Economic Growth in the Third World Using Full Information Maximum Likelihood Estimators," MPRA Paper 54573, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. King, Robert G & Rebelo, Sergio, 1990. "Public Policy and Economic Growth: Developing Neoclassical Implications," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 126-150, October.
    3. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    4. David Giles & Lindsay Tedds & Gugsa Werkneh, 2002. "The Canadian underground and measured economies: Granger causality results," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(18), pages 2347-2352.
    5. Robert J. Barro, 1998. "Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262522543, December.
    6. Zapata, Hector O & Rambaldi, Alicia N, 1997. "Monte Carlo Evidence on Cointegration and Causation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(2), pages 285-298, May.
    7. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    8. Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman, 1994. "Endogenous Innovation in the Theory of Growth," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 23-44, Winter.
    9. Christopher A. Pissarides & Giovanna Vallanti, 2004. "Productivity Growth and Employment: Theory and Panel Estimates," CEP Discussion Papers dp0663, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    10. Catherine Saget, 2000. "Can the Level of Employment be Explained by GDP Growth in Transition Countries? (Theory versus the Quality of Data)," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 14(4), pages 623-643, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Burgi,Constantin & Shoghik Hovhannisyan & Camilo Mondragon Velez, 2024. "GDP-Employment Elasticities across Developing Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10989, The World Bank.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ruttan, Vernon W., 1998. "Growth Economics And Development Economics: What Should Development Economists Learn (If Anything) From The New Growth Theory?," Bulletins 12972, University of Minnesota, Economic Development Center.
    2. Yadawananda Neog, 2019. "Does Fiscal Spending Promote Economic Growth in India? An Application of Toda-Yamamoto Causal Approach," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 23-40.
    3. Jonathan Temple, 1995. "Testing the augmented Solow Model," Economics Papers 18 & 106., Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    4. Athanasia Stylianou Kalaitzi, 2024. "Skill intensity in manufacturing exports: Do basic, technology-intensive or differentiated exports cause growth in Kuwait?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 1-30, October.
    5. Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman, 1994. "Endogenous Innovation in the Theory of Growth," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 23-44, Winter.
    6. Ben Fine, 1998. "Endogenous Growth Theory: A Critical Assessment," Working Papers 80, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    7. Michael Peneder & Karl Aiginger & Gernot Hutschenreiter & Markus Marterbauer, 2001. "Structural Change and Economic Growth," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 20668, January.
    8. Fernando Barreiro-Pereira, 2004. "Spatial effects on technical progress: growth, and convergence among countries," ERSA conference papers ersa04p278, European Regional Science Association.
    9. Jacint Balaguer & Tatiana Florica & Jordi Ripollés, 2015. "Foreign trade and economic growth in Spain (1900–2012): the role of energy imports," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 32(3), pages 359-375, December.
    10. Folster, Stefan & Henrekson, Magnus, 1999. "Growth and the public sector: a critique of the critics," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 337-358, June.
    11. Manuel Ennes Ferreira & Jelson Serafim & João Dias, 2022. "Finance-Growth Nexus: Evidence from Angola," Working Papers REM 2022/0227, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    12. Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh & Kumar, Radika Devi & Patel, Arvind, 2015. "Accounting for telecommunications contribution to economic growth: A study of Small Pacific Island States," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 284-295.
    13. Ekaterina Ponomareva & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexandr Knobel, 2012. "Factors of Economic Growth," Published Papers 172, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
    14. László Kónya, 2004. "Saving and Growth: Granger Causality Analysis with Bootstrapping on Panels of Countries," Working Papers 2004.02, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
    15. Barreiro-Pereira, Fernando, 1999. "Spatial Convergence and Congestion," ERSA conference papers ersa99pa194, European Regional Science Association.
    16. Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Mehmet Ugur & Siew Ling Yew, 2017. "Does Government Size Affect Per-Capita Income Growth? A Hierarchical Meta-Regression Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(300), pages 142-171, March.
    17. Bennett T. McCallum, 1996. "Neoclassical vs. endogenous growth analysis: an overview," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 41-71.
    18. F. Heylen & A. Schollaert & G. Everaert & L. Pozzi, 2003. "Inflation and human capital formation : theory and panel data evidence," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 03/174, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    19. Emre Aksoy, 2013. "Relationships between Employment and Growth from Industrial Perspective by Considering Employment Incentives: The Case of Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(1), pages 74-86.
    20. Abdiweli Ali, 2003. "Institutional differences as sources of growth differences," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 31(4), pages 348-362, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Employment; Unemployment; Nigeria; Causality; Toda–Yamamoto; GDP; Human Capital; Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:ijlaec:v:59:y:2016:i:4:d:10.1007_s41027-017-0072-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.