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Climate change–induced immigration to the United States has mixed influences on public support for climate change and migrants

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Listed:
  • Ash Gillis

    (Vanderbilt University)

  • Nathaniel Geiger

    (Indiana University Bloomington)

  • Kaitlin Raimi

    (University of Michigan)

  • Julia Lee Cunningham

    (University of Michigan)

  • Melanie A. Sarge

    (Indiana University Bloomington)

Abstract

Global climate change has begun to cause widespread forced migration and drivers of this phenomenon are expected to intensify in the future, which is likely to result in increased immigration to countries in the Global North such as the USA. Here, two studies examine how belief in this phenomenon could influence Americans’ opinions on climate change and immigration. A correlational pilot study demonstrated that belief in climate-immigration was associated with greater climate change concerns and policy support. It was also associated with attributing more blame to immigrations for their predicament, especially among Republicans. This provides initial correlational evidence that that awareness of climate-induced migration is associated with pro-social responses. However, an experimental messaging study demonstrated that reading about climate-induced immigration (vs. immigration not linked to climate change) did not change participants’ climate concerns or climate policy support. Instead, reading about climate-induced immigration resulted in more negative attitudes toward immigrants. Our findings suggest that, as this issue becomes more salient in political discourse, policymakers, reporters, advocates, and other communicators should attend to the possibility of unintended negative consequences of their messages. Future research is needed to determine how to foster support on climate action while minimizing backlash against immigrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Ash Gillis & Nathaniel Geiger & Kaitlin Raimi & Julia Lee Cunningham & Melanie A. Sarge, 2023. "Climate change–induced immigration to the United States has mixed influences on public support for climate change and migrants," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(5), pages 1-30, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:176:y:2023:i:5:d:10.1007_s10584-023-03519-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-023-03519-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hainmueller, Jens & Hiscox, Michael J., 2010. "Attitudes toward Highly Skilled and Low-skilled Immigration: Evidence from a Survey Experiment," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 104(1), pages 61-84, February.
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    3. Matthew J. Hornsey & Emily A. Harris & Paul G. Bain & Kelly S. Fielding, 2016. "Meta-analyses of the determinants and outcomes of belief in climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(6), pages 622-626, June.
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    5. Matto Mildenberger & Jennifer R. Marlon & Peter D. Howe & Anthony Leiserowitz, 2017. "The spatial distribution of Republican and Democratic climate opinions at state and local scales," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 539-548, December.
    6. Hainmueller, Jens & Hiscox, Michael J., 2010. "Attitudes toward Highly Skilled and Low-skilled Immigration: Evidence from a Survey Experiment—Erratum," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 104(3), pages 624-624, August.
    7. Matthew Lockwood, 2011. "Does the framing of climate policies make a difference to public support? Evidence from UK marginal constituencies," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 1097-1112, July.
    8. Samantha K. Stanley & Caroline Ng Tseung-Wong & Zoe Leviston & Iain Walker, 2021. "Acceptance of climate change and climate refugee policy in Australia and New Zealand: The case against political polarisation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 1-9, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Patricia Carracedo & Rosa Puertas & Pau Miró & David Hervás, 2025. "Sustainable Migration and Depopulation: A Methodological Proposal From the Perspective of the SDGs," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 4577-4588, June.

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