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Contributions of decadal climate information in agriculture and food systems in east and southern Africa

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Listed:
  • Admire Mutsa Nyamwanza

    (Human Sciences Research Council)

  • Mark George New

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Mariko Fujisawa

    (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations)

  • Peter Johnston

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Akeel Hajat

    (C12 Consultants)

Abstract

Whilst there has been much focus on the utility of climate information on the seasonal timescale and several decades into the future vis-à-vis decision-making and responses to climate and related risks in Africa, less attention has been given to information on the decadal timescale. Yet much policy, planning and investment decision-making within African agricultural and food systems take place within this timescale. Decadal prediction research itself has become a hot topic, and it is against this background that we explore the questions, ‘what climate information could be utilised by farmers within this timescale and of what value will it be?’ Using case studies of both small and large-scale farming systems in east and southern Africa, we show decadal climate information potentially providing opportunities for flexible, proactive and innovative decision-making in response to projected dynamics within this period, ultimately bridging the current gap not covered by seasonal forecasts and climate change projections.

Suggested Citation

  • Admire Mutsa Nyamwanza & Mark George New & Mariko Fujisawa & Peter Johnston & Akeel Hajat, 2017. "Contributions of decadal climate information in agriculture and food systems in east and southern Africa," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 115-128, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:143:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-017-1990-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1990-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Miller, Alan & Boehlje, Michael & Dobbins, Craig L., 1998. "Positioning The Farm Business," Staff Papers 28647, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    2. Philip K. Thornton & Mario Herrero, 2015. "Adapting to climate change in the mixed crop and livestock farming systems in sub-Saharan Africa," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(9), pages 830-836, September.
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