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Critical analysis of simulated daily temperature data from the ARPEGE-climate model: application to climate change in the Champagne wine-producing region

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  • E. Briche
  • G. Beltrando
  • S. Somot
  • H. Quenol

Abstract

As global warming is scientifically and widely accepted, its impacts at regional scales are raising many questions for wine producers. In particular, climate parameters, especially temperature, play a decisive role in vine growth and grape ripening. An overview of expected climate change in terms of bioclimatic indexes (Winkler and Huglin) and thermal extremes in the wine-producing region of Champagne is presented. A variable-grid atmospheric general circulation model, ARPEGE-Climate, with a local zoom at 50 km over the area of interest, is used to investigate potential future changes in thermal extremes and bioclimatic indexes. Changes in daily maximum and minimum temperatures at key stages are discussed for three emission scenarios (B1, A1B, A2) that are currently used in studies of impacts of climate change. Model outputs are analyzed and critically assessed for a control period (1971–2000) and for changes in extreme events in relation to future scenarios, such as a decrease in extreme low temperatures in spring (April) during bud break and an increase in extreme high temperatures in summer, associated with more frequent heat waves during ripening. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • E. Briche & G. Beltrando & S. Somot & H. Quenol, 2014. "Critical analysis of simulated daily temperature data from the ARPEGE-climate model: application to climate change in the Champagne wine-producing region," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(2), pages 241-254, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:123:y:2014:i:2:p:241-254
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-1044-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Isabelle Chuine & Pascal Yiou & Nicolas Viovy & Bernard Seguin & Valérie Daux & Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, 2004. "Grape ripening as a past climate indicator," Nature, Nature, vol. 432(7015), pages 289-290, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alba Piña-Rey & Estefanía González-Fernández & María Fernández-González & Mª. Nieves Lorenzo & Fco. Javier Rodríguez-Rajo, 2020. "Climate Change Impacts Assessment on Wine-Growing Bioclimatic Transition Areas," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-21, December.
    2. Mario Cunha & Christian Richter, 2016. "The impact of climate change on the winegrape vineyards of the Portuguese Douro region," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 239-251, September.
    3. Lamonaca, Emilia & Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Seccia, Antonio, 2021. "Climate changes and new productive dynamics in the global wine sector," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 10(2), April.
    4. Kiyutsevskaya, Anna (Киюцевская, Анна) & Morgunov, Vyacheslav (Моргунов, Вячеслав) & Trunin, Pavel (Трунин, Павел), 2017. "Peculiarities of Exchange Rate Policy under the Floating Exchange Rate Regime in Developing Countries [Особенности Курсовой Политики В Рамках Режима Плавающего Валютного Курса В Развивающихся Стран," Working Papers 031722, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    5. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Maccarone, Irene, 2022. "Analisi storica delle rese agricole e la variabilità del clima: Analisi dei dati italiani sui cereali [Historical crop yields and climate variability: analysis of Italian cereal data]," MPRA Paper 114135, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Aug 2022.

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