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The changing relationship between metropolitan area population growth and central city decline in the US manufacturing belt

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  • John F. McDonald

    (Temple University
    University of Illinois Chicago)

Abstract

This study examines population losses for 13 major central cities in the manufacturing belt of the USA over the period 1950 to 2020. The percentage change in the population of in a central city is related to population change at the metropolitan level. The main finding is that the propensity of the central cities to lose population declined after the disastrous 1970s. Data for the most recent decade (2010–2020) suggest that some of these central cities may not lose population at all, even if the population growth of the metropolitan area is small. Understanding this apparent change in the pattern of population change in urban areas is a major challenge for researchers.

Suggested Citation

  • John F. McDonald, 2023. "The changing relationship between metropolitan area population growth and central city decline in the US manufacturing belt," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 71(2), pages 299-316, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:71:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s00168-022-01166-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s00168-022-01166-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mcdonald, John F. & Carroll, Jeffrey N., 2020. "What explains the housing boomlet in the city of Philadelphia?," Journal of Urban Regeneration and Renewal, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 14(1), pages 66-83, September.
    2. Bradford, David F & Kelejian, Harry H, 1973. "An Econometric Model of the Flight to the Suburbs," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 566-589, May-June.
    3. Wheaton, William C., 1982. "Urban spatial development with durable but replaceable capital," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 53-67, July.
    4. John F McDonald, 2014. "What happened to and in Detroit?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(16), pages 3309-3329, December.
    5. Nathaniel Baum-Snow, 2007. "Did Highways Cause Suburbanization?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 122(2), pages 775-805.
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