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Specific-to-general predictor selection in approximate autoregressions—Monte Carlo evidence and a large scale performance assessment with real data

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  • Helmut Herwartz

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  • Helmut Herwartz, 2011. "Specific-to-general predictor selection in approximate autoregressions—Monte Carlo evidence and a large scale performance assessment with real data," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(2), pages 147-168, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:alstar:v:95:y:2011:i:2:p:147-168
    DOI: 10.1007/s10182-010-0150-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006. "A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 499-526.
    2. Helmut Herwartz, 2010. "A note on model selection in (time series) regression models - general-to-specific or specific-to-general?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1157-1160.
    3. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    4. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2006. "On the selection of forecasting models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 273-306, February.
    5. Mark W. Watson & James H. Stock, 2004. "Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(6), pages 405-430.
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