IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/alstar/v102y2018i4d10.1007_s10182-017-0317-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Test for model selection using Cramér–von Mises distance in a fixed design regression setting

Author

Listed:
  • Hong Chen

    (University of Hohenheim)

  • Maik Döring

    (University of Hohenheim)

  • Uwe Jensen

    (University of Hohenheim)

Abstract

In this paper a test for model selection is proposed which extends the usual goodness-of-fit test in several ways. It is assumed that the underlying distribution H depends on a covariate value in a fixed design setting. Secondly, instead of one parametric class we consider two competing classes one of which may contain the underlying distribution. The test allows to select one of two equally treated model classes which fits the underlying distribution better. To define the distance of distributions various measures are available. Here the Cramér-von Mises has been chosen. The null hypothesis that both parametric classes have the same distance to the underlying distribution H can be checked by means of a test statistic, the asymptotic properties of which are shown under a set of suitable conditions. The performance of the test is demonstrated by Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, the procedure is applied to a data set from an endurance test on electric motors.

Suggested Citation

  • Hong Chen & Maik Döring & Uwe Jensen, 2018. "Test for model selection using Cramér–von Mises distance in a fixed design regression setting," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 102(4), pages 505-535, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:alstar:v:102:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s10182-017-0317-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10182-017-0317-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10182-017-0317-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10182-017-0317-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zheng, John Xu, 2000. "A Consistent Test Of Conditional Parametric Distributions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(5), pages 667-691, October.
    2. Bierens, Herman J. & Wang, Li, 2012. "Integrated Conditional Moment Tests For Parametric Conditional Distributions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(2), pages 328-362, April.
    3. Qi Li & Juan Lin & Jeffrey S. Racine, 2013. "Optimal Bandwidth Selection for Nonparametric Conditional Distribution and Quantile Functions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 57-65, January.
    4. Christoph Rothe & Dominik Wied, 2013. "Misspecification Testing in a Class of Conditional Distributional Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(501), pages 314-324, March.
    5. Donald W. K. Andrews, 1997. "A Conditional Kolmogorov Test," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(5), pages 1097-1128, September.
    6. Eckhard Liebscher, 2016. "Approximation of distributions by using the Anderson Darling statistic," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(22), pages 6732-6745, November.
    7. Xu Zheng, 2012. "Testing parametric conditional distributions using the nonparametric smoothing method," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 75(4), pages 455-469, May.
    8. Vuong, Quang H, 1989. "Likelihood Ratio Tests for Model Selection and Non-nested Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 307-333, March.
    9. Bobrowski, Sebastian & Chen, Hong & Döring, Maik & Jensen, Uwe & Schinköthe, Wolfgang, 2015. "Estimation of the lifetime distribution of mechatronic systems in the presence of a covariate: A comparison among parametric, semiparametric and nonparametric models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 105-112.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Bin & Hong, Yongmiao, 2014. "A unified approach to validating univariate and multivariate conditional distribution models in time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 22-44.
    2. Clements, Michael P. & Franses, Philip Hans & Swanson, Norman R., 2004. "Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 169-183.
    3. Juan Mora & Antonia Febrer, 2005. "Wage Distribution In Spain, 1994-1999: An Application Of A Flexible Estimator Of Conditional Distributions," Working Papers. Serie EC 2005-04, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    4. Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2004. "A test for the distributional comparison of simulated and historical data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 185-193, November.
    5. Fuchun Li & Greg Tkacz, 2001. "A Consistent Bootstrap Test for Conditional Density Functions with Time-Dependent Data," Staff Working Papers 01-21, Bank of Canada.
    6. Ignacio N. Lobato, 2000. "A Consistent Test for the Martingale Difference Assumption," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0278, Econometric Society.
    7. Derumigny Alexis & Fermanian Jean-David, 2017. "About tests of the “simplifying” assumption for conditional copulas," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 154-197, August.
    8. Wied, Dominik & Dehling, Herold & van Kampen, Maarten & Vogel, Daniel, 2014. "A fluctuation test for constant Spearman’s rho with nuisance-free limit distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 723-736.
    9. Jonas Dovern & Hans Manner, 2020. "Order‐invariant tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 440-456, June.
    10. Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2007. "Evaluation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models based on distributional comparison of simulated and historical data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 699-723, February.
    11. Delgado, Miguel A. & Stute, Winfried, 2008. "Distribution-free specification tests of conditional models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 37-55, March.
    12. Chen, Bin & Hong, Yongmiao, 2014. "A unified approach to validating univariate and multivariate conditional distribution models in time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 22-44.
    13. Eduardo Fé, 2013. "Estimating production frontiers and efficiency when output is a discretely distributed economic bad," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 285-302, June.
    14. Amengual, Dante & Carrasco, Marine & Sentana, Enrique, 2020. "Testing distributional assumptions using a continuum of moments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 655-689.
    15. Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "A Test for Comparing Multiple Misspecified Conditional Distributions," Departmental Working Papers 200314, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    16. Dovern, Jonas & Manner, Hans, 2016. "Robust Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145547, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    17. Igor L. Kheifets, 2015. "Specification tests for nonlinear dynamic models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(1), pages 67-94, February.
    18. Nikolas Mittag, 2019. "Correcting for Misreporting of Government Benefits," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(2), pages 142-164, May.
    19. Xu Zheng, 2012. "Testing parametric conditional distributions using the nonparametric smoothing method," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 75(4), pages 455-469, May.
    20. repec:awi:wpaper:0608 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Obbey Elamin & Len Gill & Martyn Andrews, 2020. "Insights from kernel conditional-probability estimates into female labour force participation decision in the UK," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(6), pages 2981-3006, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:alstar:v:102:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s10182-017-0317-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.