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Svar Model To Examine The Short And Long Term Monetary Policy In Indonesia

Listed author(s):
  • Teguh Sugiarto

    ()

    (Budi luhur university)

Registered author(s):

    This research was conducted by the author to see the impact of monetary policy on the domestic macro-economic variables is important in Indonesia using a structural model of the short and long term, contained in a structural model of vectorAutoregressions (SVAR). The author uses the effects of macroeconomic policy is the key in this research, by applying the matrix model SVAR initiated by Bernanke & Mihov (1998) short term and Blancard & Quah (1989) long term. Research conducted using the 4 variables, consisting of two domestic variables, namely the interest rate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), the consumer price index (CPI) and two non-domestic variables, namely the interest rate the central bank United States(FFF), the rate of inflation in the United States (INF_USA). From the research that has been done can be inferred that the SVAR models used in this study can be used as a reference to the theoretical expectations in order to show that the rise in interest rates and the central bank of the United States could affect Indonesia's domestic variables.

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    Article provided by International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences in its journal International Journal of Economic Sciences.

    Volume (Year): 4 (2015)
    Issue (Month): 4 (December)
    Pages: 66-77

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    Handle: RePEc:sek:jijoes:v:4:y:2015:i:4:p:66-77
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://ijoes.iises.net/

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    1. Christopher A. Sims, 1986. "Are forecasting models usable for policy analysis?," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Win, pages 2-16.
    2. Christiano, Lawrence J & Eichenbaum, Martin & Evans, Charles, 1996. "The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Flow of Funds," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(1), pages 16-34, February.
    3. Sims, Christopher A., 1992. "Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts : The effects of monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 975-1000, June.
    4. Sellin, Peter, 2001. " Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(4), pages 491-541, September.
    5. Bernanke, Ben S., 1986. "Alternative explanations of the money-income correlation," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 49-99, January.
    6. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2009. "Monetary Policy Strategy," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262513374, July.
    7. Vittorio Grilli & Nouriel Roubini, 1995. "Liquidity and Exchange Rates: Puzzling Evidence from the G-7 Countries," Working Papers 95-17, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    8. Ioannidis, Christos & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2008. "The impact of monetary policy on stock prices," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 33-53.
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