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Модель установления консенсуальной ставки рефинансирования для стран БРИКС // The Implementation Model of a Consensual Refnancing Rate for the BRICS Countries

Author

Listed:
  • М. Zharikov V.

    (Financial university)

  • М. Жариков В.

    (Финансовый университет)

Abstract

The relevance of the research subject is due to the fact that countries look for adaptive approaches to the turbulence of the international monetary system (IMS). The approaches of the BRICS countries to the IMS transformation have been fully studied in the economic literature. However, there are no researches on foundation of an advanced central bank as an alternative supranational monetary institution in the new international fnancial architecture. The article objective is to develop a mechanism for setting up the refnancing rate for the BRICS countries in case of the integration hypothesis the currency union, and the lender of last resort and the general unit of accounts. A liberal pricing method has been used to create the model. There is a hypothesis that the refnancing rate should be set at a higher level than that of the People’s Bank of China’s and lower than that of Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa’s, since it has comparative advantages in crediting. The mechanism of the consensual rate of the BRICS countries is based on the assumption that the amount of money in circulation may vary by an amount that does not cause negative consequences for national economies. The fundamental difference between the results of this study is in optimization of the credit resources flow, which implies their distribution within certain limits and in several stages. The main provisions indicate that the optimal rate may provide a background for the coordination of monetary policies in the BRICS countries within the Central bank. The practical relevance of the model is that it can be used to establish the refnancing rate in the BRICS countries. The model suggests that the optimal crediting value in the BRICS countries should ft the GDP growth limits. To conclude, the optimal refnancing rate is a key issue in forming a monetary union and a common currency in the BRICS countries. Актуальность темы обусловлена тем, что странам необходимы адаптивные подходы к турбулентности мировой валютной системы (МВС). В экономической литературе достаточно полно изучены подходы стран БРИКС к трансформации МВС, однако отсутствуют исследования о создании перспективного центрального банка как альтернативного наднационального кредитно-денежного института в формирующейся новой международной финансовой архитектуре. Цель статьи заключается в разработке механизма установления ставки рефинансирования для стран БРИКС в случае реализации гипотезы интеграции, валютного союза, кредитора последней инстанции и общей расчетной единицы. При создании модели использован метод либерального ценообразования. Высказана гипотеза, в соответствии с которой ставка рефинансирования должна установиться на уровне, превышающем учетную ставку Народного банка Китая, и уровне ниже ставок Бразилии, России, Индии и ЮАР, поскольку он обладает сравнительными преимуществами в предоставлении кредита. Механизм консенсуальной ставки стран БРИКС исходит из допущения, что количество денег в обращении может изменяться на величину, которая не вызовет негативных последствий для национальных экономик. Принципиальное отличие результатов этого исследования заключается в оптимизации потока кредитных ресурсов, что предполагает их распределение в определенных рамках и на несколько этапов. Основные положения указывают на то, что установление оптимальной ставки может создать условия для согласования кредитно-денежной политики стран БРИКС в рамках единого центрального банка. Практическая значимость полученной модели заключается в том, что она может быть использована для установления ставки рефинансирования в объединения стран БРИКС. Модель предполагает, что величина оптимального кредитования в странах БРИКС должна быть заключена в пределах обеспечения прироста ВВП. Общий вывод заключается в том, что оптимальная ставка рефинансирования — ключевой вопрос в формировании валютного союза и общей валюты БРИКС.

Suggested Citation

  • М. Zharikov V. & М. Жариков В., 2019. "Модель установления консенсуальной ставки рефинансирования для стран БРИКС // The Implementation Model of a Consensual Refnancing Rate for the BRICS Countries," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 23(1), pages 66-78.
  • Handle: RePEc:scn:financ:y:2019:i:1:p:66-78
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Steven Dunaway & Lamin Leigh & Xiangming Li, 2009. "How Robust Are Estimates Of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates: The Case Of China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 361-375, August.
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