IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/urbstu/v37y2000i9p1513-1533.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Race-based Neighbourhood Projection: A Proposed Framework for Understanding New Data on Racial Integration

Author

Listed:
  • Ingrid Gould Ellen

    (Wagner School of Public Service, New York University, 4 Washington Square North, New York, NY 10012, USA, ingrid.ellen@nyu.edu.)

Abstract

This paper outlines the race-based, neighbourhood projection hypothesis which holds that, in choosing neighbourhoods, households care less about present racial composition than they do about expectations about future neighbourhood conditions, such as school quality, property values and crime. Race remains relevant, however, since households tend to associate a growing minority presence with structural decline. Using a unique data-set that links households to their neighbourhoods, this paper estimates both exit and entry models and then constructs a simple simulation model that predicts the course of racial change in different communities. Doing so, the paper concludes that the empirical evidence is more consistent with the race-based projection hypothesis than with other common explanations for neighbourhood racial transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Ingrid Gould Ellen, 2000. "Race-based Neighbourhood Projection: A Proposed Framework for Understanding New Data on Racial Integration," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(9), pages 1513-1533, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:37:y:2000:i:9:p:1513-1533
    DOI: 10.1080/00420980020080241
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1080/00420980020080241
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00420980020080241?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Emily Rosenbaum, 1992. "Race and ethnicity in housing: Turnover in New York City, 1978–1987," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 29(3), pages 467-486, August.
    2. W. Clark, 1991. "Residential preferences and neighborhood racial segregation: A test of the schelling segregation model," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 28(1), pages 1-19, February.
    3. Chambers, Daniel N., 1992. "The racial housing price differential and racially transitional neighborhoods," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 214-232, September.
    4. Courant, Paul N., 1978. "Racial prejudice in a search model of the urban housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 329-345, July.
    5. Nancy Denton & Douglas Massey, 1991. "Patterns of neighborhood transition in a multiethnic world: U.S. Metropolitan areas, 1970–1980," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 28(1), pages 41-63, February.
    6. Schnare, Ann B., 1980. "Trends in residential segregation by race: 1960-1970," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 293-301, May.
    7. Barrett Lee & Peter Wood, 1991. "Is neighborhood racial succession place-specific?," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 28(1), pages 21-40, February.
    8. Yinger, John, 1976. "Racial prejudice and racial residential segregation in an urban model," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 383-396, October.
    9. Galster, George C., 1990. "Neighborhood racial change, segregationist sentiments, and affirmative marketing policies," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 344-361, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ad Coenen & Pieter-Paul Verhaeghe & Bart Van de Putte, 2019. "Ethnic Residential Segregation: A Family Matter? An Integration of Household Composition Characteristics into the Residential Segregation Literature," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(5), pages 1023-1052, December.
    2. Tatjana Ibraimovic & Stephane Hess, 2017. "Changes in the ethnic composition of neighbourhoods: Analysis of household's response and asymmetric preference structures," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 96(4), pages 759-784, November.
    3. Kwan Ok Lee, 2014. "Why Do Renters Stay In Or Leave Certain Neighborhoods? The Role Of Neighborhood Characteristics, Housing Tenure Transitions, And Race," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(5), pages 755-787, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Samantha Friedman, 2011. "Bringing Proximate Neighbours into the Study of US Residential Segregation," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 48(4), pages 611-639, March.
    2. Junfu Zhang, 2011. "Tipping And Residential Segregation: A Unified Schelling Model," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(1), pages 167-193, February.
    3. Lauren Krivo & Robert Kaufman, 1999. "How low can it go? declining black-white segregation in A multiethnic context," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 36(1), pages 93-109, February.
    4. Stephen L. Ross, 2003. "Ségrégation and Racial Preferences: New Theoretical and Empirical Approaches," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 71-72, pages 97-139.
    5. Frankel, David M. & Pauzner, Ady, 2002. "Expectations and the Timing of Neighborhood Change," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 295-314, March.
    6. Bayer, Patrick & Casey, Marcus & Ferreira, Fernando & McMillan, Robert, 2017. "Racial and ethnic price differentials in the housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 91-105.
    7. Albert Saiz & Susan Wachter, 2011. "Immigration and the Neighborhood," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 169-188, May.
    8. John F. Kain, 2004. "A Pioneer's Perspective on the Spatial Mismatch Literature," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 41(1), pages 7-32, January.
    9. George Galster & Jackie Cutsinger & Up Lim, 2007. "Are Neighbourhoods Self-stabilising? Exploring Endogenous Dynamics," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 44(1), pages 167-185, January.
    10. Malone, Thom, 2020. "There goes the neighborhood does tipping exist amongst income groups?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    11. Easterly William, 2009. "Empirics of Strategic Interdependence: The Case of the Racial Tipping Point," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-35, June.
    12. George H. Lentz & Ko Wang, 1998. "Residential Appraisal and the Lending Process: A Survey of Issues," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 15(1), pages 11-40.
    13. Mark Ellis & Richard Wright & Lee Fiorio & Steven Holloway, 2018. "Predicting neighborhood racial change in large US metropolitan areas, 1990–2010," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 45(6), pages 1022-1037, November.
    14. Stephen L. Ross, 2003. "What Is Known about Testing for Discrimination: Lessons Learned by Comparing across Different Markets," Working papers 2003-21, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2003.
    15. O'Flaherty, Brendan & Sethi, Rajiv, 2007. "Crime and segregation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 64(3-4), pages 391-405.
    16. Harting, Philipp & Radi, Davide, 2020. "Residential segregation: The role of inequality and housing subsidies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 801-819.
    17. Myers, Caitlin Knowles, 2004. "Discrimination and neighborhood effects: understanding racial differentials in US housing prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 279-302, September.
    18. Åsa Bråmå, 2006. "'White Flight'? The Production and Reproduction of Immigrant Concentration Areas in Swedish Cities, 1990-2000," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 43(7), pages 1127-1146, June.
    19. Gandica, Yerali & Gargiulo, Floriana & Carletti, Timoteo, 2016. "Can topology reshape segregation patterns?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 46-54.
    20. Ingrid Gould Ellen & Stephen L. Ross, 2018. "Race and the City," Working Papers 2018-022, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:37:y:2000:i:9:p:1513-1533. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudiesjournal .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.