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Fighting at Home, Fighting Abroad

Author

Listed:
  • Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

    (Department of Government, University of Essex, Colchester, United Kingdom, and the Centre for the Study of Civil War, Oslo, Norway)

  • Idean Salehyan

    (Department of Political Science, University of North Texas, Denton)

  • Kenneth Schultz

    (Department of Political Science, Stanford University, California)

Abstract

Although research on conflict has tended to separately study interstate conflict and civil war, states experiencing civil wars are substantially more likely to become involved in militarized disputes with other states. Scholars have typically focused on opportunistic attacks or diversionary wars to explain this domestic–international conflict nexus. The authors argue that international disputes that coincide with civil wars are more often directly tied to the issues surrounding the civil war and emphasize intervention, externalization, and unintended spillover effects from internal conflict as important sources of international friction. They empirically demonstrate that civil wars substantially increase the probability of disputes between states. An analysis of conflict narratives shows that the increased risk of interstate conflict associated with civil wars is primarily driven by states' efforts to affect the outcome of the civil war through strategies of intervention and externalization and not by an increase in conflicts over unrelated issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristian Skrede Gleditsch & Idean Salehyan & Kenneth Schultz, 2008. "Fighting at Home, Fighting Abroad," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 52(4), pages 479-506, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:52:y:2008:i:4:p:479-506
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002707313305
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Beger, Andreas & Dorff, Cassy L. & Ward, Michael D., 2016. "Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 98-111.

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