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Rhetoric versus Reality

Author

Listed:
  • Mary Caprioli

    (Department of Political Science, University of Minnesota, Duluth)

  • Peter F. Trumbore

    (Department of Political Science, Oakland University)

Abstract

The term rogue state has become part of the common language of American foreign policy, and the assumptions made by policy makers about the international conduct of these actors—that they represent aggressive threats to international peace and security—have become entrenched at the center of U.S. foreign and defense policies. The central assumption of rogue state aggressiveness, however, has not been empirically tested. This project fills that gap. The authors first identify those states that, since 1980, have consistently been described as rogues by policy makers, as well as other states that evince the objective characteristics said to qualify a state for rogue status. Whenthe authors examine these states'interstate conflict behavior as a group, they find that they are no more likely to become involved in militarized interstate disputes, no more likely to initiate militarized action, and no more likely to use force first than nonrogue states.

Suggested Citation

  • Mary Caprioli & Peter F. Trumbore, 2005. "Rhetoric versus Reality," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 49(5), pages 770-791, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:49:y:2005:i:5:p:770-791
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002705279335
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harkavy, Robert E., 1981. "Pariah states and nuclear proliferation," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(1), pages 135-163, January.
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    3. Beck, Nathaniel & Katz, Jonathan N., 1995. "What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 634-647, September.
    4. Douglas Lemke & William Reed, 1996. "Regime types and status quo evaluations: Power transition theory and the democratic peace," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 143-164, May.
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