IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/envirb/v51y2024i4p1003-1006.html

Resilience analysis of global agricultural trade

Author

Listed:
  • Chunzhu Wei
  • Xufeng Liu
  • Lupan Zhang
  • Yuanmei Wan
  • Gengzhi Huang
  • Yang Lu
  • Xiaohu Zhang

Abstract

This study examined the transport network of global marine dry bulk carriers for agricultural trade during the period from 2018 to 2021. Firstly, the resilience of agricultural trade network is noteworthy throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Agricultural trade initially plunged by 10.15% from 2019 to 2020 and bounced by a remarkable 11.45% in 2021, ultimately restoring trade volumes to the average level observed in the pre-pandemic year of 2019. However, the ports in Brazil and Argentina displayed less resilience in their agricultural trade with a continued decline in agricultural trade quantities in 2021. Additionally, the outbound trips increased in Ukraine, Canada, and Russia and decreased in Brazil and Argentina, leading to a more tightly knit agricultural network since 2020. Overall, this study provided evidence in comprehensively assessing the capacity and resilience of global food supply chains, especially in the context of constantly evolving circumstances and challenges.

Suggested Citation

  • Chunzhu Wei & Xufeng Liu & Lupan Zhang & Yuanmei Wan & Gengzhi Huang & Yang Lu & Xiaohu Zhang, 2024. "Resilience analysis of global agricultural trade," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 51(4), pages 1003-1006, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:51:y:2024:i:4:p:1003-1006
    DOI: 10.1177/23998083241229846
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/23998083241229846
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/23998083241229846?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arita, Shawn & Grant, Jason & Sydow, Sharon & Beckman, Jayson, 2022. "Has global agricultural trade been resilient under coronavirus (COVID-19)? Findings from an econometric assessment of 2020," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    2. Chunzhu Wei & Mo Zhang & Wei Chen & Yong Ge & Daoping Wang & Die Zhang & Desheng Xue & Qiuming Cheng & Changxiu Cheng & Wenguang Zhang, 2023. "After the pandemic: the global seafood trade market forecasts in 2030," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Qiangyi Li & Xiaohui Zhang, 2024. "Effects of Agricultural Trade on Reducing Carbon Emissions under the “Dual Carbon” Target: Evidence from China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-25, August.
    2. Johnson, David R. & Geldner, Nathan B. & Liu, Jing & Baldos, Uris Lantz & Hertel, Thomas, 2023. "Reducing US biofuels requirements mitigates short-term impacts of global population and income growth on agricultural environmental outcomes," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    3. Mariusz Hamulczuk & Karolina Pawlak & Daniel Sumner & Grzegorz Szafrański, 2024. "Did the COVID-19 pandemic disturb intra-EU trade in agrifood products? Evidence from a counterfactual forecasting approach," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(11), pages 556-564.
    4. Anthony Macedo & João Rebelo & Sofia Gouveia, 2023. "The impact of COVID-19 government policy on the international wine trade," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    5. Pascal L. Ghazalian, 2025. "Globalization and the Fallout of the COVID-19 Pandemic," World, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, January.
    6. Fiankor, Dela-Dem Doe & Lartey, Abraham & Ritzel, Christian, 2023. "Agri-food importing firms amid a global health crisis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    7. Saracutu Ionuț, 2023. "COVID-19 Impact on Romania’s Agri-Food Trade: Opportunity or Threat," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 285-297, July.
    8. Sudhanshu Joshi & Manu Sharma & Sunil Luthra & Rajeev Agarwal & Rajeev Rathi, 2025. "Role of industry 4.0 in augmenting endurability of agri-food supply chains amidst pandemic: organisation flexibility as a moderator," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 768-782, June.
    9. Karolina Pawlak & Walenty Poczta, 2024. "Twenty Years of Poland’s EU Membership: What Is Progress in the Agri-Food Sector?," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-24, December.
    10. Lopez Barrera, Emiliano & Miljkovic, Kristina & Barnor, Kodjo & Miljkovic, Dragan, 2025. "Examining COVID-19 mortality inequalities across 169 countries: Insights from the COVID-19 mortality inequality curve (CMIC) and Theil index analysis," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    11. Ran Lu & Hongjun Zeng, 2022. "VIX and major agricultural future markets: dynamic linkage and time-frequency relations around the COVID-19 outbreak," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(2), pages 334-353, September.
    12. Steinbach, Sandro, 2022. "Port congestion, container shortages, and U.S. foreign trade," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    13. Emediegwu, Lotanna E. & Rogna, Marco, 2024. "Agricultural commodities’ price transmission from international to local markets in developing countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    14. Dela‐Dem Doe Fiankor & Bernhard Dalheimer & Gabriele Mack, 2025. "Pesticide regulatory heterogeneity, foreign sourcing, and global agricultural value chains," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 107(2), pages 611-634, March.
    15. Steinbach, Sandro, 2023. "The Russia–Ukraine war and global trade reallocations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    16. Noé J. Nava & William Ridley & Sandy Dall'erba, 2023. "A model of the U.S. food system: What are the determinants of the state vulnerabilities to production shocks and supply chain disruptions?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(1), pages 95-109, January.
    17. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro & Zhuang, Xiting, 2022. "Global Container Trade Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322364, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. repec:ags:aaea22:335482 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Botello, Hector, 2025. "Pandemic Shocks and Agricultural Resilience in Ecuador: A Firm-Level Analysis of COVID-19 Impacts," 2025 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2025, Denver, CO 360606, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Beck,Anne Helene & Lim, Sunghun & Taglioni,Daria, 2024. "Understanding Firm Networks in Global Agricultural Value Chains," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10774, The World Bank.
    21. Ferguson, Shon & Ubilava, David, 2022. "Global commodity market disruption and the fallout," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(04), January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:51:y:2024:i:4:p:1003-1006. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.