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Individual Space – Time Activity-Based Model: A Model for the Simulation of Airborne Infectious-Disease Transmission by Activity-Bundle Simulation

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  • Yong Yang
  • Peter M Atkinson

Abstract

Activity bundle (AB) simulation is a method for obtaining a specific contact network (specific to target infectious disease) from the space–time dynamics of individuals constrained both by their social activity and by the physical condition of the space. Taking advantage of AB simulation, an individual space–time activity-based model (ISTAM) is presented which integrates the infectious-disease evolution process, individual activity patterns, and stochastic infection model. ISTAM was applied to the University of Southampton in order to simulate a hypothetical influenza epidemic. The results show that the model behaviour is approximately consistent with expectations.

Suggested Citation

  • Yong Yang & Peter M Atkinson, 2008. "Individual Space – Time Activity-Based Model: A Model for the Simulation of Airborne Infectious-Disease Transmission by Activity-Bundle Simulation," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 35(1), pages 80-99, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:35:y:2008:i:1:p:80-99
    DOI: 10.1068/b32162
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Stephen Eubank & Hasan Guclu & V. S. Anil Kumar & Madhav V. Marathe & Aravind Srinivasan & Zoltán Toroczkai & Nan Wang, 2004. "Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 429(6988), pages 180-184, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. An, Li, 2012. "Modeling human decisions in coupled human and natural systems: Review of agent-based models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 25-36.
    2. Wang, W.L. & Tsui, K.L. & Lo, S.M. & Liu, S.B., 2018. "Computational modeling and statistical analyses on individual contact rate and exposure to disease in complex and confined transportation hubs," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1461-1470.

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