IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/ecoint/0001.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Approaches to Country Risk Analysis and Early Warning

Author

Listed:
  • Carment, David

    () (Carlton university,The Norman Paterson School of International Affairs)

  • Samy, Yiagadeeesen

    () (Carlton university,The Norman Paterson School of International Affairs)

  • Prest, Stewart

    () (Carlton university,The Norman Paterson School of International Affairs)

Abstract

This article lays out a framework for country risk analysis and early warning drawing on the methodologies developed by the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Project (CIFP – www.carleton.ca/cifp). Special attention is given to the identifi cation of failed and fragile states using the CIFP state fragility index, and how the latter compares to other such indices. The rest of the paper proceeds in four parts. In the second section, we provide some concepts and defi nitions as they relate to early warning, state failure and country risk. The third section assesses structural risk indicators and events based monitoring methodologies. The fourth section provides a comparative ranking of countries, some initial fi ndings and results for the Middle East and North Africa. The fi fth and fi nal section concludes by discussing the policy implications of the analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Carment, David & Samy, Yiagadeeesen & Prest, Stewart, 2009. "Approaches to Country Risk Analysis and Early Warning," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 62(3), pages 297-323.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.iei1946.it/RePEc/ccg/CARMENT%20ET%20AL%20297_323.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Carment, David & Landry, Joe & Samy, Yiagadeesen & Shaw, Scott, 2015. "State Transitions for the Middle East and North Africa Region: A Structural Assessment Using the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Framework - Le transizioni delle regioni medio-orientali e del No," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 68(1), pages 57-79.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fragile States; Failed States; Conflict; Indicators; Early Warning; Risk Analysis; CIFP; Middle East; Yemen; Iraq; OECD; Development Assistance; Military Intervention;

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0001. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Angela Procopio). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/cacogit.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.