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Effect of False Confidence on Asset Allocation Decisions of Households

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  • Swarn Chatterjee

Abstract

This paper investigates whether false confidence, as characterized by a high level of personal mastery and a low level of intelligence (IQ), results in frequent investor trading and subsequent investor wealth erosion across time. Using the National Longitudinal Survey (NLSY79), change in wealth and asset allocation across time is modeled as a function of various behavioral, socio-economic and demographic variables drawn from prior literature. Findings of this research reveal that false confidence is indeed a predictor of trading activity in individual investment assets, and it also has a negative impact on individual wealth creation across time.

Suggested Citation

  • Swarn Chatterjee, 2014. "Effect of False Confidence on Asset Allocation Decisions of Households," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 3(1), pages 01-11, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:rbs:ijfbss:v:3:y:2014:i:1:id:399
    DOI: 10.20525/ijfbs.v3i1.166
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peng, Lin & Xiong, Wei, 2006. "Investor attention, overconfidence and category learning," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 563-602, June.
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    3. Swarnankur Chatterjee, 2013. "Borrowing Decisions of Credit Constrained Consumers and The Role of Financial Literacy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 179-191.
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    5. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2000. "Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 773-806, April.
    6. Menchik, Paul L & David, Martin, 1983. "Income Distribution, Lifetime Savings, and Bequests," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(4), pages 672-690, September.
    7. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2002. "Online Investors: Do the Slow Die First?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(2), pages 455-488, March.
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