IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prs/recofi/ecofi_0987-3368_2004_num_77_4_4178.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Le dollar et la formation d’un pôle monétaire en Asie

Author

Listed:
  • Michel Aglietta
  • Bronka Rzepkowski

Abstract

[fre] Les pays asiatiques ont résisté aux pressions baissières sur le dollar en finançant l’augmentation rapide de la dette extérieure des États-Unis par une forte accumulation de réserves de change. On montre que la poursuite de ce processus présente des risques pour l’équilibre macroéconomique des pays concernés et pour la poursuite de leur intégration régionale. On en déduit que l’opportunité de détacher le yuan chinois du dollar et de modifier les régimes de change des autres pays de manière cohérente existe. Ce serait la première étape vers la formation d’un puissant pôle monétaire régional. . Classification JEL : E58, F31, F32, F33, O53 [eng] The dollar role in the development of an Asian monetary zone . Asian countries have fought depreciating pressures on the dollar in financing the fast-increasing US debt via a strong accumulation of foreign exchange reserves. It will be demonstrated that getting along with this process further is conducive to risks in the countries involved, both for their macroeconomic equilibrium and the pursuit of their regional integration. It can be argued that there is an opportunity to de-couple the Chinese Yuan from the dollar and to change consistently the exchange rate regime of the other countries. It might be the first step toward a strong regional monetary zone. . JEL classification : E58, F31, F32, F33, O53

Suggested Citation

  • Michel Aglietta & Bronka Rzepkowski, 2004. "Le dollar et la formation d’un pôle monétaire en Asie," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 77(4), pages 147-161.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:recofi:ecofi_0987-3368_2004_num_77_4_4178
    DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2004.4178
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecofi.2004.4178
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3406/ecofi.2004.4178
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.persee.fr/doc/ecofi_0987-3368_2004_num_77_4_4178
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3406/ecofi.2004.4178?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. C. Fred Bergsten & John Williamson (ed.), 2003. "Dollar Overvaluation and the World Economy," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number sr16, October.
    2. Michel Aglietta & Bronka Rzepkowski, 2004. "Les banques centrales asiatiques et le dollar," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 230.
    3. Eichengreen, Barry, 2004. "Chinese Currency Controversies," CEPR Discussion Papers 4375, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Robert N McCauley & Ben S C Fung, 2003. "Choosing instruments in managing dollar foreign exchange reserves," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Amina Lahrèche-Révil & Valérie Mignon, 2004. "Le yuan et le G20," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 77(4), pages 127-146.
    2. Thomas L. Vollrath & Mark J. Gehlhar & Charles B. Hallahan, 2009. "Bilateral Import Protection, Free Trade Agreements, and Other Factors Influencing Trade Flows in Agriculture and Clothing," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 298-317, June.
    3. James Laurenceson & Kam Ki Tang, "undated". "China�s Equilibrium Exchange Rate and Trade Balance: A Tale of Apples and Pirates," EAERG Discussion Paper Series 0805, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    4. Ito, Takatoshi & Yabu, Tomoyoshi, 2007. "What prompts Japan to intervene in the Forex market? A new approach to a reaction function," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 193-212, March.
    5. Ms. Xiangming Li & Mr. Steven V Dunaway, 2005. "Estimating China's "Equilibrium" Real Exchange Rate," IMF Working Papers 2005/202, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Liu, Lin & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Su, Chi-Wei & Jiang, Chun, 2013. "Real interest rate parity in East Asian countries based on China with flexible Fourier stationary test," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 25, pages 52-58.
    7. Renato Filosa, 2003. "Shock monetari e reali, ciclo economico e valore dell' euro," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 56(223), pages 295-324.
    8. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif & Menla Ali, Faek & Akdeniz, Coşkun, 2018. "Monetary policy rules in emerging countries: Is there an augmented nonlinear taylor rule?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 306-319.
    9. Jeffrey Frankel, 2021. "Systematic Managed Floating," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Steven J Davis & Edward S Robinson & Bernard Yeung (ed.), THE ASIAN MONETARY POLICY FORUM Insights for Central Banking, chapter 5, pages 160-221, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Antoine Bouveret & Sana Mestiri & Henri Sterdyniak, 2006. "The Renminbi Equilibrium Exchange Rate: an agnostic view," Sciences Po publications 2006-13, Sciences Po.
    11. Bandyopadhyay, Gopal & Bagheri, Fathollah & Mann, Michael, 2007. "Reduction of fossil fuel emissions in the USA: A holistic approach towards policy formulation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 950-965, February.
    12. Kwack, Sung Yeung & Ahn, Choong Y. & Lee, Young S. & Yang, Doo Y., 2007. "Consistent estimates of world trade elasticities and an application to the effects of Chinese Yuan (RMB) appreciation," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 314-330, April.
    13. Morris Goldstein & Nicholas Lardy, 2017. "China’s Exchange Rate Policy Dilemma," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: TRADE CURRENCIES AND FINANCE, chapter 20, pages 667-675, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    14. Marie Brière & Valérie Mignon & Kim Oosterlinck & Ariane Szafarz, 2016. "Towards greater diversification in central bank reserves," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(4), pages 295-312, July.
    15. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5121 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Ghassan, Hassan B., 2007. "La condition de Marshall-Lerner-Robinson est-elle stable ? Approche par le test GLS cointégration à niveau et puissance améliorés [Does the Marshall-Lerner-Robinson condition verify the stability? ," MPRA Paper 56354, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Jan 2008.
    17. Prasad, Eswar S., 2009. "Is the Chinese growth miracle built to last?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 103-123, March.
    18. Gabriele Galati & Philip Wooldridge, 2009. "The euro as a reserve currency: a challenge to the pre-eminence of the US dollar?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(1), pages 1-23.
    19. Mark Setterfield & Selen Ozcelik, 2017. "Is the balance of payments constrained growth rate time-varying? Exchange rate over valuation, policy-induced recessions, deindustrialization, and long run growth," Working Papers 1726, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    20. Gary Clyde Hufbauer & Yee Wong, 2004. "China Bashing 2004," Policy Briefs PB04-05, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    21. Barry Eichengreen, 2010. "Global Imbalances and the Lessons of Bretton Woods," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262514141, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prs:recofi:ecofi_0987-3368_2004_num_77_4_4178. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Equipe PERSEE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.persee.fr/collection/ecofi .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.