IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlpol/v2013y2013i1id884p67-90.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Koncept udržitelnosti negativní čisté investiční pozice a jeho aplikace na příkladu České republiky v letech 1999-2011
[A Concept of Sustainability of Negative Net International Investment Position and Its Application to the Case of the Czech Republic in 1999-2011]

Author

Listed:
  • Karel Brůna

Abstract

The paper deals with a theoretical and empirical analysis of determinants of both net international investment position/GDP ratio and net costs of negative investment position using the case of the Czech Republic in 1999-2011. It defines country's short-run and long-run sustainability conditions that are based on dynamics of both sources created by an economy through net export surplus and negative net yields paid from international investment position. The paper points out important differences between large advanced and small transitive economies in case of costs of net investment position. The factors like country's position of FDI lender/debtor, world investment/ invoicing currency, exogeneity of foreign asset's and liability's interest yields, role of FX reserves accumulation by country's central bank and position of foreign currency denominated loans on foreign liabilities are discussed. Empirical analysis confi rms the Czech economy is not able to satisfy long run sustainability condition due to high net costs of negative investments position. Estimation of parameters in econometric model shows that worsening net investment position to GDP is a result of high dividend and interest yields paid from foreign liabilities that is still above positive balance of net export.

Suggested Citation

  • Karel Brůna, 2013. "Koncept udržitelnosti negativní čisté investiční pozice a jeho aplikace na příkladu České republiky v letech 1999-2011 [A Concept of Sustainability of Negative Net International Investment Position," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(1), pages 67-90.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2013:y:2013:i:1:id:884:p:67-90
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.884
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://polek.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.polek.884.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: http://polek.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.polek.884.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.polek.884?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Damiano Sandri, 2011. "Precautionary Savings and Global Imbalances in World General Equilibrium," IMF Working Papers 2011/122, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, & Philip R. Lane, 2003. "International Financial Integration," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp03, IIIS.
    3. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2007. "International Financial Adjustment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 115(4), pages 665-703, August.
    4. Matthew Higgins & Thomas Klitgaard, 2007. "Financial globalization and the U.S. current account deficit," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 13(Dec).
    5. Philip R. Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2002. "Long-Term Capital Movements," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, pages 73-136, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Helene Rey, 2005. "International financial adjustment," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Cédric Tille, 2003. "The impact of exchange rate movements on U.S. foreign debt," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 9(Jan).
    8. repec:cdl:econwp:qt124628cx is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Matthew Higgins & Thomas Klitgaard & Cédric Tille, 2005. "The income implications of rising U.S. international liabilities," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 11(Dec).
    10. Martin Mandel & Vladimír Tomšík, 2008. "External Balance in a Transition Economy: The Role of Foreign Direct Investments," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 5-26, July.
    11. repec:cdl:ciders:qt124628cx is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karel Brůna, 2011. "An Analysis of Costs and Revenues of Net Foreign Investment Position in Advanced and Transitive Countries [Analýza podmínek obsluhy čisté investiční pozice v rozvinutých a tranzitivních ekonomikách," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(3), pages 22-31.
    2. Michele Cavallo & Cedric Tille, 2006. "Could capital gains smooth a current account rebalancing?," 2006 Meeting Papers 252, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Philip Lane, 2007. "The Swedish external position and the krona," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 263-279, November.
    4. Benigno, Pierpaolo, 2009. "Are valuation effects desirable from a global perspective?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 170-180, July.
    5. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2007. "The Unsustainable US Current Account Position Revisited," NBER Chapters, in: G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, pages 339-376, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Philip Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2006. "Exchange Rates and External Adjustment: Does Financial Globalization Matter?," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp129, IIIS.
    7. Faruqee, Hamid & Laxton, Douglas & Muir, Dirk & Pesenti, Paolo, 2008. "Would protectionism defuse global imbalances and spur economic activity? A scenario analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 2651-2689, August.
    8. Andrew Hughes Hallett & Juan Martinez Oliva, 2012. "Reducing Global Imbalances: Can Fixed Exchange Rates and Current Account Limits Help?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 163-192, February.
    9. McCauley, Robert N., 2015. "Does the US dollar confer an exorbitant privilege?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 1-14.
    10. Hamid Faruqee & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2007. "Smooth Landing or Crash? Model-Based Scenarios of Global Current Account Rebalancing," NBER Chapters, in: G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, pages 377-456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2005. "The unsustainable U.S. current account position revisited," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb.
    12. Alessandro Girardi & Paolo Paesani, 2008. "The Transfer Problem in the Euro Area," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 517-537, September.
    13. Nicolas Coeurdacier & Robert Kollmann & Philippe Martin, 2009. "International Portfolios with Supply, Demand, and Redistributive Shocks," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2007, pages 231-263, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2007. "From World Banker to World Venture Capitalist: US External Adjustment and the Exorbitant Privilege," NBER Chapters, in: G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, pages 11-66, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Devereux, Michael B. & Genberg, Hans, 2007. "Currency appreciation and current account adjustment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 570-586, June.
    16. Lane, Philip R. & Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria, 2007. "The external wealth of nations mark II: Revised and extended estimates of foreign assets and liabilities, 1970-2004," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 223-250, November.
    17. Sutherland, Alan & Devereux, Michael B, 2006. "Solving for Country Portfolios in Open Economy Macro Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 5966, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Philip R. Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2007. "A Global Perspective on External Positions," NBER Chapters, in: G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, pages 67-102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Devereux, Michael B. & Sutherland, Alan, 2010. "Country portfolio dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1325-1342, July.
    20. Andrew Hughes Hallett & Juan Carlos Martinez Oliva, 2013. "Currency War Or Currency Peace: The Dollar And Renminbi In A World Of Portfolio And Current Account Imbalances," China Economic Policy Review (CEPR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(01), pages 1-34.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2013:y:2013:i:1:id:884:p:67-90. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.