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FDI and Macroeconomic Stability: The Turkish Case

Author

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  • İlyas Şiklar
  • Merve Kocaman

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and macroeconomic stability for Turkey. To represent the macroeconomic stability, two main variables are examined. The first of these is inflation rate that represents the economic stability in real sector and the second one is real exchange rate representing the stability in the financial sector. In addition to these variables, the market size, openness to trade and financial development variables are also used as control-transmission variables. Used data are monthly and cover the period from January 2003 to April 2015. Empirical methods used in the study are unit root tests, cointegration analyses, vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality test. Obtained empirical results show that fluctuations in inflation and the real exchange rate have a negative and permanent effect on FDI, meaning that instabilities that occurred in real and financial markets negatively affected the inward FDI. Therefore Turkey, which has enough potential to attract FDI, has to provide stability in its macroeconomic indicators to attract a higher volume of FDI.

Suggested Citation

  • İlyas Şiklar & Merve Kocaman, 2018. "FDI and Macroeconomic Stability: The Turkish Case," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(1), pages 19-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2018:y:2018:i:1:id:204:p:19-40
    DOI: 10.18267/j.efaj.204
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Emel SIKLAR & Ilyas SIKLAR, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Macroeconomic Dynamics? An S-VAR Approach for Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 8(3), pages 85-103, 09-2022.
    2. Nazire Nergiz Dincer & Barry Eichengreen & Ayça Tekin‐Koru, 2022. "Manufacturing and service‐sector productivity in Turkey: A perspective from firm‐level data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(9), pages 2698-2723, September.
    3. Dimitra Mitsi & Constantina Kottaridi, 2022. "Fiscal and non-fiscal institutional context effects and foreign direct investment: empirical evidence in developing countries," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 72(1-2), pages 11-33, January-J.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign Direct Investment; Macroeconomic Stability; Turkish Economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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