IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlefa/v2018y2018i1id204p19-40.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

FDI and Macroeconomic Stability: The Turkish Case

Author

Listed:
  • İlyas Şiklar
  • Merve Kocaman

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and macroeconomic stability for Turkey. To represent the macroeconomic stability, two main variables are examined. The first of these is inflation rate that represents the economic stability in real sector and the second one is real exchange rate representing the stability in the financial sector. In addition to these variables, the market size, openness to trade and financial development variables are also used as control-transmission variables. Used data are monthly and cover the period from January 2003 to April 2015. Empirical methods used in the study are unit root tests, cointegration analyses, vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality test. Obtained empirical results show that fluctuations in inflation and the real exchange rate have a negative and permanent effect on FDI, meaning that instabilities that occurred in real and financial markets negatively affected the inward FDI. Therefore Turkey, which has enough potential to attract FDI, has to provide stability in its macroeconomic indicators to attract a higher volume of FDI.

Suggested Citation

  • İlyas Şiklar & Merve Kocaman, 2018. "FDI and Macroeconomic Stability: The Turkish Case," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(1), pages 19-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2018:y:2018:i:1:id:204:p:19-40
    DOI: 10.18267/j.efaj.204
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://efaj.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.efaj.204.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: http://efaj.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.efaj.204.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.efaj.204?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Henry Loewendahl & Ebru Ertugal-Loewendahl, 2001. "Turkey’s Performance in Attracting Foreign Direct Investment: Implications of EU Enlargement," Economics Working Papers 008, European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes.
    2. Faisal Ahmed & Rabah Arezki & Norbert Funke, 2007. "The composition of capital flows to South Africa," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pages 275-294.
    3. Steve Onyeiwu & Hemanta Shrestha, 2004. "Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Africa," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 20(1-2), pages 89-106, June.
    4. Moosa, Imad A. & Cardak, Buly A., 2006. "The determinants of foreign direct investment: An extreme bounds analysis," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 199-211, April.
    5. Reinhart, Carmen & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2002. "FDI to Africa: The role of price stability and currency instability," MPRA Paper 13872, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Fedderke, J.W. & Romm, A.T., 2006. "Growth impact and determinants of foreign direct investment into South Africa, 1956-2003," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 738-760, September.
    7. Brito, Ricardo D. & Bystedt, Brianne, 2010. "Inflation targeting in emerging economies: Panel evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 198-210, March.
    8. Jamuna Agarwal, 1980. "Determinants of foreign direct investment: A survey," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 116(4), pages 739-773, December.
    9. Raymond Vernon, 1966. "International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 80(2), pages 190-207.
    10. C.E. Moolman & E.L. Roos & J.C. Le Roux & C. B. Du Toit, 2006. "Foreign Direct Investment: South Africa’s Elixir of Life?," Working Papers 200605, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. John H Dunning, 1988. "The Eclectic Paradigm of International Production: A Restatement and Some Possible Extensions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 19(1), pages 1-31, March.
    12. D. Hodge, 2006. "Inflation and growth in South Africa," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 30(2), pages 163-180, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Emel SIKLAR & Ilyas SIKLAR, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Macroeconomic Dynamics? An S-VAR Approach for Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 8(3), pages 85-103, 09-2022.
    2. Nazire Nergiz Dincer & Barry Eichengreen & Ayça Tekin‐Koru, 2022. "Manufacturing and service‐sector productivity in Turkey: A perspective from firm‐level data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(9), pages 2698-2723, September.
    3. Dimitra Mitsi & Constantina Kottaridi, 2022. "Fiscal and non-fiscal institutional context effects and foreign direct investment: empirical evidence in developing countries," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 72(1-2), pages 11-33, January-J.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Valli, Mohammed & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Is there any causality between inflation and FDI in an ‘inflation targeting’ regime? Evidence from South Africa," MPRA Paper 60246, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nandipha Dondashe & Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Determinants of FDI in South Africa: Do macroeconomic variables matter?," Working Papers 1802, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Jan 2018.
    3. Boateng, Agyenim & Hua, Xiuping & Nisar, Shaista & Wu, Junjie, 2015. "Examining the determinants of inward FDI: Evidence from Norway," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 118-127.
    4. Muzurura, Joe, 2016. "Determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Zimbabwe: What factors matter?," MPRA Paper 99873, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Jun 2016.
    5. Hossain, Saddam & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is the relationship between FDI and inflation nonlinear and asymmetric? new evidence from NARDL approach," MPRA Paper 112549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Katona, Klára, 2006. "A magyarországi tőkeimportot befolyásoló tényezők újraértelmezése [Reinterpretation of the factors influencing capital imports into Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 986-1001.
    7. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2017. "Multilateral Trade Liberalisation and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 66-84, February.
    8. Makun, Keshmeer Kanewar, 2016. "Direct Foreign Investment and its Determinants: A Case Study - Gli investimenti diretti esteri e loro determinanti : studio di un caso," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(2), pages 151-174.
    9. Siddique Hasinul Hussan & Bardai Barjoyai Bin, 2023. "Seventy Years of FDI Literature: Review, Comparison and Critique," Economics, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 195-221, June.
    10. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Carlos Pestana Barros & Bruno Damasio, 2013. "Foreign direct investment in the Asian economies," NCID Working Papers 10/2013, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    11. Merita Zulfiu, 2008. "Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Transition Economies: With particular Reference to Macedonia's Performance," FIW Working Paper series 019, FIW.
    12. Minakshee DAS, 2020. "Determinants Of Inward Foreign Direct Investment: Comparison Across Different Country Groups, 1996-2016," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 20(1), pages 5-22.
    13. Adugna Lemi & Sisay Asefa, 2009. "Differential Impacts of Economic Volatility and Governance on Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Foreign Direct Investments: The Case of US Multinationals in Africa," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 35(3), pages 367-395.
    14. Mann, Catherine L., 1993. "Determinants of Japanese direct investment in US manufacturing industries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(5), pages 523-541, October.
    15. Yang Zhang & Wenlong Li & Jiawen Sun & Haidong Zhao & Haiying Lin, 2023. "A Research Paradigm for Industrial Spatial Layout Optimization and High-Quality Development in The Context of Carbon Peaking," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-30, February.
    16. Francesco Scalera, 2019. "The Maghreb Area Development. Threats and Opportunities for Italian Companies’ Investment Strategies," International Journal of Business Research and Management (IJBRM), Computer Science Journals (CSC Journals), vol. 10(4), pages 64-83, December.
    17. Yakubu, Ibrahim Nandom & Mikhail, Abdul Azeez, 2019. "Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Ghana: A Sectoral Analysis," MPRA Paper 95121, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Simplice Asongu & Uduak S. Akpan & Salisu R. Isihak, 2018. "Determinants of foreign direct investment in fast-growing economies: evidence from the BRICS and MINT countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 1-17, December.
    19. Asongu, Simplice & Nwachukwu, Jacinta, 2015. "Drivers of FDI in Fast Growing Developing Countries: Evidence from Bundling and Unbundling Governance," MPRA Paper 67294, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Ravi Ramamurti & Jenny Hillemann, 2018. "What is “Chinese” about Chinese multinationals?," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 49(1), pages 34-48, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign Direct Investment; Macroeconomic Stability; Turkish Economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlefa:v:2018:y:2018:i:1:id:204:p:19-40. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.