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Diversifying in public real estate: The ex-post performance

Author

Listed:
  • Carolina Fugazza
  • Massimo Guidolin

    (Manchester Business School, MAGF; MBS Crawford House)

  • Giovanna Nicodano

Abstract

We calculate the ex-post, realised portfolio performance for an investor who diversifies among US stocks, bonds, real estate indirect investment vehicles (E-REITS), and cash. Simulations are performed for two alternative asset allocation frameworks — classical and Bayesian — and for scenarios involving two different samples and six different investment horizons. Interestingly, the ex-post welfare cost of restricting portfolio choice to traditional financial assets (ie, stocks, bonds, and cash) is only found to be positive in all scenarios for a Bayesian investor. On the contrary, substitution of E-REITS for stocks in optimal portfolios turns out to reduce ex-post portfolio performance over the nineties and for a Classical investor who ignores parameter estimation uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Carolina Fugazza & Massimo Guidolin & Giovanna Nicodano, 2008. "Diversifying in public real estate: The ex-post performance," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(6), pages 361-373, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:assmgt:v:8:y:2008:i:6:d:10.1057_palgrave.jam.2250089
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jam.2250089
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Schindler, Felix, 2009. "Long-term benefits from investing in international real estate," ZEW Discussion Papers 09-023, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Giulia Dal Pra & Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio & Fabiola Vasile, 2016. "Do Regimes in Excess Stock Return Predictability Create Economic Value? An Out-of-Sample Portfolio Analysis," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1637, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.

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