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Asymmetric Price Risk: An Econometric Analysis of Aggregate Sow Farrowings, 1973–86

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  • Russell Tronstad
  • Thomas J. McNeill

Abstract

Aggregate sow farrowing response to price risk is estimated where price risk is defined as the difference between expected price at decision time and realized price at acquisition or selling time. Asymmetric (unfavorable deviations) and symmetric (favorable and unfavorable deviations) forms of price risk are estimated utilizing cash and futures prices. Statistical results suggest that an asymmetric form of risk analysis is preferred to a symmetric form, for both cash and futures markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Russell Tronstad & Thomas J. McNeill, 1989. "Asymmetric Price Risk: An Econometric Analysis of Aggregate Sow Farrowings, 1973–86," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(3), pages 630-637.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:71:y:1989:i:3:p:630-637.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1242018
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    Cited by:

    1. Holt, Matthew T. & Moschini, GianCarlo, 1992. "Alternative Measures Of Risk In Commodity Supply Models: An Analysis Of Sow Farrowing Decisions In The United States," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(1), pages 1-12, July.
    2. Pope, Rulon D. & LaFrance, Jeffrey T. & Just, Richard E., 2011. "Agricultural arbitrage and risk preferences," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(1), pages 35-43, May.
    3. Branch, William & Tilley, Daniel S., 1991. "Catfish Producer Harvest Response To Production And Asymmetric Price Risk," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 1-9, December.
    4. Donoso, Guillermo, 2014. "A decision framework for a farmer who is risk averse in the Arrow-Pratt sense and downside risk averse," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 14(02), pages 1-22, December.
    5. Rezitis, Anthony N. & Stavropoulos, Konstantinos S., 2010. "Modeling beef supply response and price volatility under CAP reforms: The case of Greece," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 163-174, April.
    6. Bezemer, Dirk J., 2004. "Risk and agricultural de-collectivisation, with evidence from the Czech Republic," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 13-33, March.
    7. Robert G. Chambers & Margarita Genius & Vangelis Tzouvelekas, 2021. "Invariant Risk Preferences and Supply Response under Price Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(5), pages 1802-1819, October.
    8. Kuznar, Lawrence A. & Frederick, William G., 2003. "Environmental constraints and sigmoid utility: implications for value, risk sensitivity, and social status," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 293-306, September.
    9. Tomek, William G., 2000. "Commodity Prices Revisited," Staff Papers 121146, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    10. Tomek, William G., 2000. "Commodity Prices Revisited," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-13, October.

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