IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-37913-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Behavioral changes during the COVID-19 pandemic decreased income diversity of urban encounters

Author

Listed:
  • Takahiro Yabe

    (Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Bernardo García Bulle Bueno

    (Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Xiaowen Dong

    (University of Oxford
    Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Alex Pentland

    (Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Esteban Moro

    (Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Grupo Interdisciplinar de Sistemas Complejos (GISC), Departamento de Matemáticas, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)

Abstract

Diversity of physical encounters in urban environments is known to spur economic productivity while also fostering social capital. However, mobility restrictions during the pandemic have forced people to reduce urban encounters, raising questions about the social implications of behavioral changes. In this paper, we study how individual income diversity of urban encounters changed during the pandemic, using a large-scale, privacy-enhanced mobility dataset of more than one million anonymized mobile phone users in Boston, Dallas, Los Angeles, and Seattle, across three years spanning before and during the pandemic. We find that the diversity of urban encounters has substantially decreased (by 15% to 30%) during the pandemic and has persisted through late 2021, even though aggregated mobility metrics have recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Counterfactual analyses show that behavioral changes including lower willingness to explore new places further decreased the diversity of encounters in the long term. Our findings provide implications for managing the trade-off between the stringency of COVID-19 policies and the diversity of urban encounters as we move beyond the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Takahiro Yabe & Bernardo García Bulle Bueno & Xiaowen Dong & Alex Pentland & Esteban Moro, 2023. "Behavioral changes during the COVID-19 pandemic decreased income diversity of urban encounters," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-37913-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37913-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-37913-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-37913-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raj Chetty & Matthew O. Jackson & Theresa Kuchler & Johannes Stroebel & Nathaniel Hendren & Robert B. Fluegge & Sara Gong & Federico Gonzalez & Armelle Grondin & Matthew Jacob & Drew Johnston & Martin, 2022. "Social capital I: measurement and associations with economic mobility," Nature, Nature, vol. 608(7921), pages 108-121, August.
    2. Thomas Hale & Noam Angrist & Rafael Goldszmidt & Beatriz Kira & Anna Petherick & Toby Phillips & Samuel Webster & Emily Cameron-Blake & Laura Hallas & Saptarshi Majumdar & Helen Tatlow, 2021. "A global panel database of pandemic policies (Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker)," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(4), pages 529-538, April.
    3. Jisung Yoon & Woo-Sung Jung & Hyunuk Kim, 2022. "COVID-19 confines recreational gatherings in Seoul to familiar, less crowded, and neighboring urban areas," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    4. Chong, Shi Kai & Bahrami, Mohsen & Chen, Hao & balcisoy, Selim & Bozkaya, Burcin & Pentland, Alex 'Sandy', 2020. "Economic outcomes predicted by diversity in cities," OSF Preprints j59u3, Center for Open Science.
    5. Paul F. Whiteley, 2000. "Economic Growth and Social Capital," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 48(3), pages 443-466, June.
    6. Andres Sevtsuk & Annie Hudson & Dylan Halpern & Rounaq Basu & Kloe Ng & Jorrit de Jong, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on trips to urban amenities: Examining travel behavior changes in Somerville, MA," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(9), pages 1-26, September.
    7. Serina Chang & Emma Pierson & Pang Wei Koh & Jaline Gerardin & Beth Redbird & David Grusky & Jure Leskovec, 2021. "Mobility network models of COVID-19 explain inequities and inform reopening," Nature, Nature, vol. 589(7840), pages 82-87, January.
    8. Minha Lee & Jun Zhao & Qianqian Sun & Yixuan Pan & Weiyi Zhou & Chenfeng Xiong & Lei Zhang, 2020. "Human mobility trends during the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, November.
    9. Esteban Moro & Dan Calacci & Xiaowen Dong & Alex Pentland, 2021. "Mobility patterns are associated with experienced income segregation in large US cities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. de Palma, André & Vosough, Shaghayegh & Liao, Feixiong, 2022. "An overview of effects of COVID-19 on mobility and lifestyle: 18 months since the outbreak," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 372-397.
    11. Alberto Aleta & David Martín-Corral & Ana Pastore y Piontti & Marco Ajelli & Maria Litvinova & Matteo Chinazzi & Natalie E. Dean & M. Elizabeth Halloran & Ira M. Longini Jr & Stefano Merler & Alex Pen, 2020. "Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 4(9), pages 964-971, September.
    12. Li, Tao & Wang, Jiaoe & Huang, Jie & Yang, Wenyue & Chen, Zhuo, 2021. "Exploring the dynamic impacts of COVID-19 on intercity travel in China," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    13. Pierre-Alexandre Balland & Cristian Jara-Figueroa & Sergio G. Petralia & Mathieu P. A. Steijn & David L. Rigby & César A. Hidalgo, 2020. "Complex economic activities concentrate in large cities," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 4(3), pages 248-254, March.
    14. Matson, Grant & McElroy, Sean & Lee, Yongsung & Circella, Giovanni, 2021. "Longitudinal Analysis of COVID-19 Impacts on Mobility: An Early Snapshot of the Emerging Changes in Travel Behavior," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt2pg7k2gt, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    15. Ruth F. Hunter & Leandro Garcia & Thiago Herick Sa & Belen Zapata-Diomedi & Christopher Millett & James Woodcock & Alex ’Sandy’ Pentland & Esteban Moro, 2021. "Effect of COVID-19 response policies on walking behavior in US cities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    16. Musterd, Sako & Marci?czak, Szymon & van Ham, Maarten & Tammaru, Tiit, 2015. "Socio-Economic Segregation in European Capital Cities: Increasing Separation between Poor and Rich," IZA Discussion Papers 9603, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    17. Marta C. González & César A. Hidalgo & Albert-László Barabási, 2009. "Understanding individual human mobility patterns," Nature, Nature, vol. 458(7235), pages 238-238, March.
    18. Mei-Po Kwan, 2016. "Algorithmic Geographies: Big Data, Algorithmic Uncertainty, and the Production of Geographic Knowledge," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 106(2), pages 274-282, March.
    19. Wei Pan & Gourab Ghoshal & Coco Krumme & Manuel Cebrian & Alex Pentland, 2013. "Urban characteristics attributable to density-driven tie formation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 4(1), pages 1-7, October.
    20. Armita Kar & Huyen T. K. Le & Harvey J. Miller, 2022. "What Is Essential Travel? Socioeconomic Differences in Travel Demand in Columbus, Ohio, during the COVID-19 Lockdown," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(4), pages 1023-1046, April.
    21. Xiao Huang & Junyu Lu & Song Gao & Sicheng Wang & Zhewei Liu & Hanxue Wei, 2022. "Staying at Home Is a Privilege: Evidence from Fine-Grained Mobile Phone Location Data in the United States during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(1), pages 286-305, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Saiz, Albert & Salazar-Miranda, Arianna, 2023. "Understanding Urban Economies, Land Use, and Social Dynamics in the City: Big Data and Measurement," IZA Discussion Papers 16501, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Aditya Kulkarni & Minkyong Kim & Jayanta Bhattacharya & Joydeep Bhattacharya, 2023. "Businesses in high-income zip codes often saw sharper visit reductions during the COVID-19 pandemic," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. S'andor Juh'asz & GergH{o} Pint'er & 'Ad'am Kov'acs & Endre Borza & Gergely M'onus & L'aszl'o LH{o}rincz & Bal'azs Lengyel, 2022. "Amenity complexity and urban locations of socio-economic mixing," Papers 2212.07280, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    2. Xi, Haoning & Li, Qin & Hensher, David A. & Nelson, John D. & Ho, Chinh, 2023. "Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 on travel behavior in different socio-economic segments," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 98-112.
    3. Clodomir Santana & Federico Botta & Hugo Barbosa & Filippo Privitera & Ronaldo Menezes & Riccardo Di Clemente, 2023. "COVID-19 is linked to changes in the time–space dimension of human mobility," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 7(10), pages 1729-1739, October.
    4. Sandor Juhasz & Gergo Pinter & Adam Kovacs & Endre Borza & Gergely Monus & Laszlo Lorincz & Balazs Lengyel, 2022. "Amenity complexity and urban locations of socio-economic mixing," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 2232, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Nov 2022.
    5. Becky PY Loo & Zhuangyuan Fan, 2023. "Social interaction in public space: Spatial edges, moveable furniture, and visual landmarks," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 50(9), pages 2510-2526, November.
    6. Bernardo García Bulle Bueno & Abigail L. Horn & Brooke M. Bell & Mohsen Bahrami & Burçin Bozkaya & Alex Pentland & Kayla Haye & Esteban Moro, 2024. "Effect of mobile food environments on fast food visits," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Alejandro Llorente & Manuel Garcia-Herranz & Manuel Cebrian & Esteban Moro, 2015. "Social Media Fingerprints of Unemployment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(5), pages 1-13, May.
    8. Wang, Jueyu & Kaza, Nikhil & McDonald, Noreen C. & Khanal, Kshitiz, 2022. "Socio-economic disparities in activity-travel behavior adaptation during the COVID-19 pandemic in North Carolina," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 70-78.
    9. Singh, Suraj Shirodkar & Javanmard, Reyhane & Lee, Jinhyung & Kim, Junghwan & Diab, Ehab, 2021. "The new BRT system has led to an overall increase in transit-based accessibility to essential services during the COVID-19 pandemic: Empirical evidence from Winnipeg, Canada," OSF Preprints anjd7, Center for Open Science.
    10. Martina Jakob & Sebastian Heinrich, 2023. "Measuring Human Capital with Social Media Data and Machine Learning," University of Bern Social Sciences Working Papers 46, University of Bern, Department of Social Sciences.
    11. Aditya Kulkarni & Minkyong Kim & Jayanta Bhattacharya & Joydeep Bhattacharya, 2023. "Businesses in high-income zip codes often saw sharper visit reductions during the COVID-19 pandemic," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.
    12. Yu, Ling & Zhao, Pengjun & Tang, Junqing & Pang, Liang, 2023. "Changes in tourist mobility after COVID-19 outbreaks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    13. Meng, Xin & Guo, Mingxue & Gao, Ziyou & Kang, Liujiang, 2023. "Interaction between travel restriction policies and the spread of COVID-19," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 209-227.
    14. Sen Pei & Sasikiran Kandula & Jaime Cascante Vega & Wan Yang & Steffen Foerster & Corinne Thompson & Jennifer Baumgartner & Shama Desai Ahuja & Kathleen Blaney & Jay K. Varma & Theodore Long & Jeffrey, 2022. "Contact tracing reveals community transmission of COVID-19 in New York City," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    15. Rezapour, Shabnam & Baghaian, Atefe & Naderi, Nazanin & Sarmiento, Juan P., 2023. "Infection transmission and prevention in metropolises with heterogeneous and dynamic populations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(1), pages 113-138.
    16. Bo Huang & Zhihui Huang & Chen Chen & Jian Lin & Tony Tam & Yingyi Hong & Sen Pei, 2022. "Social vulnerability amplifies the disparate impact of mobility on COVID-19 transmissibility across the United States," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, December.
    17. Timo Mitze & Reinhold Kosfeld, 2022. "The propagation effect of commuting to work in the spatial transmission of COVID-19," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 5-31, January.
    18. Kim, Junghwan & Kwan, Mei-Po, 2021. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on people's mobility: A longitudinal study of the U.S. from March to September of 2020," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    19. Natalie Coleman & Chenyue Liu & Yiqing Zhao & Ali Mostafavi, 2023. "Lifestyle pattern analysis unveils recovery trajectories of communities impacted by disasters," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, December.
    20. Sparks, Kevin & Moehl, Jessica & Weber, Eric & Brelsford, Christa & Rose, Amy, 2022. "Shifting temporal dynamics of human mobility in the United States," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-37913-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.