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Az ártranszmisszió és az árak aszimmetrikus alakulása Magyarország tejvertikumában
[Price transmission and asymmetric price development in the vertical structure]

Author

Listed:
  • Tóth, József
  • Popovics, Péter András

Abstract

A tanulmány Magyarország tejvertikumának piaci viselkedését elemzi 1995 és 2003 között. Egyrészt azt vizsgálja, hogy a tejvertikumon belül a piaci hatásoknak megfelelően alakultak-e az egyes vertikumszakaszok árai, másrészt hogy a vertikum mely szereplői vannak a legnagyobb befolyással ezeknek az áraknak az alakulására. A tejpiaci árak aszimmetriája indokolttá teszi az ártranszmissziós vizsgálatot. Ha megvizsgáljuk a különböző vertikumszakaszokhoz tartozó, inflációval korrigált árak alakulását, egyértelműen látszik, hogy nem beszélhetünk tökéletes piaci versenyről, az ármozgások inkább oligopolisztikus jellegről árulkodnak. Az ökonometriai elemzés megmutatja, hogy Magyarország tejpiacán az árak a vertikum alsó szakaszán alulról felfelé, míg a felső szakaszán fentről lefelé hatnak, valamint azt, hogy a vizsgált időszakban a vertikum két végpontja - sőt, az egyes vertikumszakaszok - közötti ártranszmisszió nem tökéletes, hanem aszimmetrikus és időben késleltetett, ami jelentős hatással van a napjainkra kialakult tejpiaci válságra. A tanulmány javaslatokat fogalmaz meg az ártranszmisszióval kapcsolatos ismeretek gazdaságpolitikában való felhasználására, továbbá néhány tanulság megfogalmazásával zárul. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: C12, C22, D43, Q13.

Suggested Citation

  • Tóth, József & Popovics, Péter András, 2006. "Az ártranszmisszió és az árak aszimmetrikus alakulása Magyarország tejvertikumában [Price transmission and asymmetric price development in the vertical structure]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 349-364.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:837
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan & Ferto, Imre & Szabo, Gabor G., 2007. "Price transmission in the Hungarian vegetable sector," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 106, pages 1-17, July.
    2. Varga, Tibor, 2007. "Vertical price transmission between market operators in Hungarian agricultural product chains," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 106, pages 1-30, July.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness

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