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Diskretionäre Fiskalpolitik: Pro und Kontra

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Abstract

Die Schweizer Wirtschaft befindet sich in einer Rezession, von der sie sich nicht schnell erholen wird. In dieser Situation kann die Konjunkturpolitik dazu beitragen, eine selbstverstärkende Abwärtsspirale zu verhindern und soziale Härten abzufedern. Da die Geldpolitik derzeit an Grenzen stösst, hat die Fiskalpolitik an Bedeutung gewonnen. Zwei Stimulierungspakete sind vom Bund bereits beschlossen worden, ein drittes steht zur Debatte. Dargelegt werden hier die positiven Effekte, die von verschiedenen Massnahmen ausgehen können, sowie Argumente, die gegen die Fiskalpolitik aufgeführt werden. Mit dem KOF-Makromodell werden vier alternative Politikvarianten für die Schweiz simuliert und deren Wirkung verglichen. Aus konjunktureller Sicht schneidet dabei eine diskretionäre Erhöhung der Staatsausgaben am besten ab.

Suggested Citation

  • Andres Frick & Jochen Hartwig & Michael Graff & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2009. "Diskretionäre Fiskalpolitik: Pro und Kontra," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 3(2), pages 25-43, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:kof:anskof:v:3:y:2009:i:2:p:25-43
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-005427569
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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph A. Schaltegger & Martin Weder, 2010. "Fiskalpolitik als antizyklisches Instrument? Eine Betrachtung der Schweiz," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 11(2), pages 146-177, May.

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