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Was Robert Gibrat right? A test based on the graphical model methodology

Author

Listed:
  • Marco Guerzoni

    (University of Milano-Bicocca
    University of Strasbourg)

  • Luigi Riso

    (Catholic University)

  • Marco Vivarelli

    (Catholic University
    UNU-MERIT
    IZA)

Abstract

Using both regression analysis and an unsupervised graphical model approach (never applied before to this issue), we confirm the rejection of Gibrat’s Law (stating that a firm’s growth is independent of that firm’s initial size) when our firm-level data are considered over the entire investigated period, while the opposite is true when we allow for market selection; indeed, the growth behavior of the surviving most efficient firms is in line with Gibrat’s Law. This evidence reconciles early and current literature and may have interesting implications in terms of both theoretical research and policy suggestions regarding subsidies to small firms, which do not necessarily grow faster than their larger counterparts.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Guerzoni & Luigi Riso & Marco Vivarelli, 2025. "Was Robert Gibrat right? A test based on the graphical model methodology," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 475-488, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:sbusec:v:64:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s11187-024-00915-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11187-024-00915-1
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gibrat’s Law; Firm survival; Market selection; Firm growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms

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