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The trend of the Romanian migration flow explained by means of statistical models

Author

Listed:
  • Daniela Gabriela COZMA

    () (PhD student at Doctoral School of Economics and Business Administration, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Iasi, Romania)

  • Margareta BOCANCIA

    () (PhD student at Doctoral School of Economics and Business Administration, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Iasi, Romania)

Abstract

Over time, the migration phenomenon developed an interdependence relationship with economic development, political stability and social factors. Starting from this context, this paper aims at studying the Romanian emigration flow according to the country of destination between 1990-2016 and the way in which the gross domestic product per capita (GDP) influenced this emigration flow between 2008-2016. The initial hypothesis was that only certain countries were priority targets of the Romanian emigration flow. In our scientific approach we used EUROSTAT and TEMPO databases.In the first part of the paper we used cluster analyzes to confirm that only certain countries are priority destinations, and in the second part we included a multiple linear regression model to find out if the gross domestic product of the country affects in any way the decision to emigrate

Suggested Citation

  • Daniela Gabriela COZMA & Margareta BOCANCIA, 2019. "The trend of the Romanian migration flow explained by means of statistical models," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 11(3), pages 234-258, Octomber.
    • Handle: RePEc:jes:wpaper:y:2019:v:11:i:3:p:234-258
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sorin Manole & Laura Panoiu & Adriana Paunescu, 2017. "Impact of Migration upon a Receiving Country’s Economic Development," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 19(46), pages 670-670, August.
    2. Michel Beine & Christopher Parsons, 2015. "Climatic Factors as Determinants of International Migration," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 117(2), pages 723-767, April.
    3. Dr Tatiana Fic & Ana Rincon-Aznar & Lucy Stokes & Dawn Holland, 2011. "Labour mobility within the EU," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 379, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    4. Larry A. Sjaastad, 1962. "The Costs and Returns of Human Migration," NBER Chapters, in: Investment in Human Beings, pages 80-93, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Everett Lee, 1966. "A theory of migration," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 3(1), pages 47-57, March.
    6. Young-Bae Kim & Paul Levine & Emanuela Lotti, 2010. "Migration, Skill Composition And Growth," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 213(1), pages 5-19, July.
    7. James P. LeSage & R. Kelley Pace, 2008. "Spatial Econometric Modeling Of Origin‐Destination Flows," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(5), pages 941-967, December.
    8. Jørgen Carling, 2014. "Scripting Remittances: Making Sense of Money Transfers in Transnational Relationships," International Migration Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48, pages 218-262, September.
    9. Young-Bae Kim & Paul Levine & Emanuela Lotti, 2010. "Migration, Skill Composition And Growth," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 213(1), pages 5-19, July.
    10. Grogger, Jeffrey & Hanson, Gordon H., 2011. "Income maximization and the selection and sorting of international migrants," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 42-57, May.
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