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To Float Or Not To Float? Currency Regimes And Growth

Author

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  • William Miles

    () (Department of Economics, Wichita State University)

Abstract

One recent line of research on exchange rates is the effect of fixed or floating currencies on long-term growth. One difficulty with such studies is that emerging market countries with certain imbalances and potentially hard-to-observe policy distortions are more likely to choose a fixed exchange rate regime, and thus estimates of the effect of exchange rates on growth are likely to be biased upward in magnitude. Results here indicate that when a measure of domestic distortions and macroeconomic imbalances is added to the model the exchange rate regime at most exacerbates existing distortions, and no longer appears to have an independent, significant effect on growth, contrary to some recent findings.

Suggested Citation

  • William Miles, 2006. "To Float Or Not To Float? Currency Regimes And Growth," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 31(2), pages 91-105, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:jed:journl:v:31:y:2006:i:2:p:91-105
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    File URL: http://www.jed.or.kr/full-text/31-2/5.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48.
    2. Rudi Dornbusch, 2001. "Fewer Monies, Better Monies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 238-242, May.
    3. repec:hrv:faseco:34721963 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Abouelkhair, Anass & Gahaz, Taha & Y. Tamsamani, Yasser, 2018. "Choix du régime de change et croissance économique : Une analyse empirique sur des données de panel africaines
      [Exchange Rate Regime Choice and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis on African Pan
      ," MPRA Paper 84700, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Abouelkhaira, Anass & Gahaz, Taha & Y. Tamsamani, Yasser, 2018. "Choix du régime de change et croissance économique : Une analyse empirique sur des données de panel africaines
      [Exchange Rate Regime Choice and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis on African Pan
      ," MPRA Paper 84613, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Manuk Ghazanchyan & Janet Gale Stotsky, 2013. "Drivers of Growth; Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries," IMF Working Papers 13/236, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Manuk Ghazanchyan & Janet Gale Stotsky & Qianqian Zhang, 2015. "A New Look at the Determinants of Growth in Asian Countries," IMF Working Papers 15/195, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Cecilia Bermúdez & Carlos Dabús, 2015. "Let it float: new empirical evidence on de facto exchange rate regimes and growth in Latin America," Estudios Economicos, Universidad Nacional del Sur, Departamento de Economia, vol. 32(65), pages 3-18, july-dece.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Finance; Open Economy Macroeconomics; Economic Growth;

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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