IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/isa/journl/v13y2011i1p33-61.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Methodological aspects and empirical evidence in the use of administrative sources to estimate price dynamics in external trade

Author

Listed:
  • Paola Anitori

    (Italian National Institute of Statistics)

  • Carlo De Gregorio

    (Italian National Institute of Statistics)

Abstract

This paper explores the possibility to widen the current offer of unit value and price indicators in external trade throughout a more intensive and efficient use of the available administrative sources. In particular, it firstly overviews the opportunities offered by a fuller exploitation of custom records linkage to other sources, such as business registers. Secondly, it presents a suitable conceptual and methodological framework for the estimates of price indicators based on custom records regarding, on the one hand, the definition of the reference population and the target parameter and, on the other hand, a statistically founded method to supersede the lack of details on the characteristics of the products. A generalised method of univariate density estimation and clustering is proposed to estimate homogeneous market segments on the basis of the elementary unit value distribution. A basic version of such method is applied to a subset of Italian custom records referred to years 2005-2007 and it is used to simulate estimates of export and import price dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Paola Anitori & Carlo De Gregorio, 2011. "Methodological aspects and empirical evidence in the use of administrative sources to estimate price dynamics in external trade," Rivista di statistica ufficiale, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), vol. 13(1), pages 33-61, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:isa:journl:v:13:y:2011:i:1:p:33-61
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.istat.it/it/files/2011/12/1_2011_2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Donald Siegel, 1991. "Errors in Output Deflators Revisited: Unit Values and the PPI," NBER Working Papers 3935, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Balk,Bert M., 2012. "Price and Quantity Index Numbers," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107404960, October.
    3. Mick Silver, 2007. "Do Unit Value Export, Import, and Terms of Trade Indices Represent or Misrepresent Price Indices?," IMF Working Papers 2007/121, International Monetary Fund.
    4. von der Lippe, Peter, 2007. "Price indices and unit value indices in German foreign trade statistics," MPRA Paper 5525, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Paola Anitori & M. Serena Causo & Giuseppe de Santis, 2010. "Alcune considerazioni sulla qualità degli indici dei valori medi unitari del commercio estero," Rivista di statistica ufficiale, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), vol. 12(2-3), pages 5-29, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hajargasht, Gholamreza & Rao, D.S. Prasada, 2019. "Multilateral index number systems for international price comparisons: Properties, existence and uniqueness," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 36-47.
    2. Diewert, W. Erwin & Fox, Kevin J., 2017. "Substitution Bias in Multilateral Methods for CPI Construction using Scanner Data," Microeconomics.ca working papers erwin_diewert-2017-3, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 23 Mar 2017.
    3. Inanoglu, Hulusi & Jacobs, Michael, Jr. & Liu, Junrong & Sickles, Robin, 2015. "Analyzing Bank Efficiency: Are "Too-Big-to-Fail" Banks Efficient?," Working Papers 15-016, Rice University, Department of Economics.
    4. Matteo Bugamelli & Silvia Fabiani & Stefano Federico & Alberto Felettigh & Claire Giordano & Andrea Linarello, 2018. "Back on Track? A Macro–Micro Narrative of Italian Exports," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 4(1), pages 1-31, March.
    5. Van Puyenbroeck, Tom & Rogge, Nicky, 2017. "Geometric mean quantity index numbers with Benefit-of-the-Doubt weights," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(3), pages 1004-1014.
    6. Balk, Bert M. & Rambaldi, Alicia N. & Rao, D. S. Prasada, 2022. "Macro-Economic Measures For A Globalized World: Global Growth And Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(2), pages 314-360, March.
    7. Alekseev, Aleksandr & Sokolov, Mikhail V., 2021. "How to measure the average rate of change?," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 43-59.
    8. Walden, John & Fissel, Ben & Squires, Dale & Vestergaard, Niels, 2015. "Productivity change in commercial fisheries: An introduction to the special issue," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 289-293.
    9. Pastor, Jesus T. & Lovell, C.A. Knox & Aparicio, Juan, 2020. "Defining a new graph inefficiency measure for the proportional directional distance function and introducing a new Malmquist productivity index," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 281(1), pages 222-230.
    10. Carlo De Gregorio, 2012. "Sample size for the estimate of consumer price subindices with alternative statistical designs," Rivista di statistica ufficiale, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), vol. 14(1), pages 19-47, October.
    11. Silver Mick, 2022. "Econometric Issues in Hedonic Property Price Indices: Some Practical Help," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 38(1), pages 153-186, March.
    12. Bert M. Balk, 2010. "An Assumption‐Free Framework For Measuring Productivity Change," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 56(s1), pages 224-256, June.
    13. Nicholas Oulton, 2021. "The effect of changes in the terms of trade on GDP and welfare: a Divisia approach to the SNA," Discussion Papers 2126, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    14. Kikuchi, Masao & Mano, Yukichi & 真野, 裕吉 & Njagi, Tim & Merrey, Douglas & Otsuka, Keijiro, 2019. "Economic Viability of Large-scale Irrigation Construction in 21st Century sub-Saharan Africa: Centering around the Estimation of Construction Costs of Mwea Irrigation Scheme in Kenya," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-87, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    15. Diewert, Erwin, 2009. "Cost of Living Indexes and Exact Index Numbers," Economics working papers erwin_diewert-2009-6, Vancouver School of Economics, revised 13 Feb 2009.
    16. Su, Bin & Ang, B.W., 2014. "Attribution of changes in the generalized Fisher index with application to embodied emission studies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 778-786.
    17. Consuelo Nava & Maria Grazia Zoia, 2019. "An econometric analysis of the Italian cultural supply," Papers 1910.00073, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    18. Giuliano, Fernando & Luttini, Emiliano, 2020. "Import prices and invoice currency: Evidence from Chile," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    19. Satoshi Imai & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2013. "Product Downsizing and Hidden Price Increases: Evidence from Japan's Deflationary Period," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 008, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, revised Jun 2013.
    20. Satoshi Imai & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2014. "Product Downsizing and Hidden Price Increases: Evidence from Japan's Deflationary Period," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 9(1), pages 69-89, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unit values; Import and export price indices; Non parametric density estimates; Univariate clustering; Market segments; Administrative sources.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:isa:journl:v:13:y:2011:i:1:p:33-61. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stefania Rossetti (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/istgvit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.