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An Analysis of Contagion in Emerging Currency Markets Using Multivariate Extreme Value Theory

Author

Listed:
  • Fukuhara, Masahiro

    (U Tsukuba and Barclays Global Investors)

  • Saruwatari, Yasufumi

    (Institute of Policy and Planning Sciences, U Tsukuba)

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to analyze short-term contagion effects in emerging currency markets. The originality of our paper lies in our survey used to present the microstructure of emerging currency markets and our empirical approach to contagion analysis through an estimation of tail dependence between pair currencies employing multivariate extreme value theory for the verification of results of our survey.

Suggested Citation

  • Fukuhara, Masahiro & Saruwatari, Yasufumi, 2003. "An Analysis of Contagion in Emerging Currency Markets Using Multivariate Extreme Value Theory," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 21(2), pages 113-131, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ime:imemes:v:21:y:2003:i:2:p:113-131
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    File URL: http://www.imes.boj.or.jp/research/papers/english/me21-2-5.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin D. D. Evans, 2017. "FX Trading and Exchange Rate Dynamics," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Studies in Foreign Exchange Economics, chapter 5, pages 189-245 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Kai-Li Wang & Christopher Fawson & Christopher B. Barrett & James B. McDonald, 2001. "A flexible parametric GARCH model with an application to exchange rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(4), pages 521-536.
    3. Poon, Ser-Huang & Rockinger, Michael & Tawn, Jonathan, 2001. "New Extreme-Value Dependence Measures and Finance Applications," CEPR Discussion Papers 2762, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "Contagion: How to Measure It?," NBER Chapters,in: Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 269-334 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Toshiaki Watana, 2000. "Excess kurtosis of conditional distribution for daily stock returns: the case of Japan," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(6), pages 353-355.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carroll Howard GRIFFIN, 2010. "The Role Of Latin American Banks In The Region’s Currency Crises," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 5, pages 55-71, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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