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Modelos de corrección de error no lineal entre mercados accionarios latinoamericanos y el mercado accionario de Estados Unidos


  • Arturo Lorenzo Valdés

    () (Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey, México.)


The intention of the present work is to evaluate long-run relations in the stock markets of six Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) and the United States stock market, by means of a model in which a cointegration relation exists between the principals prices stock indexes but allowing that the movements towards the long-run equilibrium only happen in some periods. For the previous thing threshold autoregressive models are considered. The idea is that the movements towards the long-run equilibrium need not occur every period but in a specific regime. We find that the specification is better in nonlinear than linear models and the cointegration relation only appears in four of the six analyzed Latin American countries

Suggested Citation

  • Arturo Lorenzo Valdés, 2006. "Modelos de corrección de error no lineal entre mercados accionarios latinoamericanos y el mercado accionario de Estados Unidos," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Ilades-Georgetown University, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Bussines, vol. 21(1), pages 117-129, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ila:anaeco:v:21:y:2006:i:1:p:117-129

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Bruce E. Hansen, 2000. "Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 575-604, May.
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    More about this item


    Cointegration; Asset Returns; Dynamic Nonlinear; SETAR Models;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets


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