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¿Ha seguido el Banco de España una regla de Taylor con información en el tiempo real?

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Abstract

In this paper I analyze monetary policy implementation in Spain during the period 1984-1998. Its main innovation lies with the use of forecasts from the Bank of Spain’s confidential series. Two main conclusions are obtained in this paper. The first is that from 1988 to 1998 the Bank of Spain took monetary policy actions following a monetary rule similar to a Taylor rule. The second is that monetary policy analysis may lead to incorrect inference if monetary authority information problems are not taken into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Víctor López Pérez, 2002. "¿Ha seguido el Banco de España una regla de Taylor con información en el tiempo real?," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 26(3), pages 475-496, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:iec:inveco:v:26:y:2002:i:3:p:475-496
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Dolado, Juan J & María-Dolores, Ramón, 2000. "Evaluating Changes In The Bank Of Spain's Intervention: An Alternative Approach Using Marked Point Processes," CEPR Discussion Papers 2388, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Gerlach, Stefan & Schnabel, Gert, 2000. "The Taylor rule and interest rates in the EMU area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 165-171, May.
    5. John B. Taylor, 1999. "Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number tayl99-1, January.
    6. Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998. "Monetary policy rules in practice Some international evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1033-1067, June.
    7. Gert Peersman & Frank Smets, 1999. "Uncertainty and the Taylor rule in a simple model of the Euro-area economy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    8. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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