IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibn/ijefaa/v10y2018i5p87-95.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact of Financial Liquidity on the Exchange Rate of the Chinese Yuan Renminbi against the United States Dollar under Interest Rate Liberalization ¡ª Evidence from Shibor

Author

Listed:
  • Zhenyu Wu
  • Maoguo Wu

Abstract

Financial liquidity is one of the most important factors that affects China¡¯s currency market along with other macroeconomic factors. Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) is the quantitative indicator of the financial liquidity of China¡¯s capital market. China has been continuously promoting the marketization of interest rates. The interbank market, as a resource of money supply, is significantly affected by this process. This paper empirically investigates the relationship between Shibor and the onshore renminbi-dollar exchange rate utilizing data from October 2006 to January 2015. Furthermore, in addition to Shibor, inflation rate difference, benchmark interest rate difference, GDP growth rate difference, and trade balance are all included as control variables. First, preliminary tests such as the ADF test and Granger causality test were conducted for selecting the most appropriate regression method. A VAR test, impulse response, and variance decomposition were then conducted. Empirical results show that Shibor has a significant impact on the onshore renminbi-dollar exchange rate, exhibiting a one-way causal relationship with an inverse direction. Furthermore, other control variables also show a different relationship to the onshore renminbi-dollar exchange rate to some extent. The finding is consistent with classical theory and practical judgment. This paper contributes to existing literature on classical theory testing of the exchange rate and provides new evidence on the influencing factors of the exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenyu Wu & Maoguo Wu, 2018. "The Impact of Financial Liquidity on the Exchange Rate of the Chinese Yuan Renminbi against the United States Dollar under Interest Rate Liberalization ¡ª Evidence from Shibor," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(5), pages 87-95, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:10:y:2018:i:5:p:87-95
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/74031
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/74031
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dreger, Christian, 2010. "Does the Nominal Exchange Rate Regime Affect the Real Interest Parity Condition?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 21(3), pages 274-285.
    2. Baxter, Marianne, 1994. "Real exchange rates and real interest differentials: Have we missed the business-cycle relationship?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 5-37, February.
    3. Charles Engel, 2011. "The Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium," NBER Working Papers 17116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marianne Baxter, 2012. "International risk‐sharing in the short run and in the long run," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 376-393, May.
    2. Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2022. "Globalization, long memory, and real interest rate convergence: a historical perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2331-2355, November.
    3. Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Examining real interest parity: Which component reverts quickest and in which regime?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 72-83.
    4. Philippe Andrade & Catherine Bruneau, 2002. "Excess returns, portfolio choices and exchange rate dynamics. The yen/dollar case, 1980–1998," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 64(3), pages 233-256, July.
    5. Leung, Charles Ka Yui & Ng, Joe Cho Yiu, 2018. "Macro Aspects of Housing," MPRA Paper 93512, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Nazlioglu, Saban, 2014. "Trends in international commodity prices: Panel unit root analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 441-451.
    7. Luis Arango & Yanneth Betancourt, 2005. "A signal of imperfect portfolio capital adjustments from the domestic and foreign Colombian debt," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(9), pages 587-597.
    8. jose ramos pires manso, 2004. "Economical Versus Political Cycles In An Iberian Manufacturing Sector," Industrial Organization 0404003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Wan, Xiaoli & Yan, Yuruo & Zeng, Zhixiong, 2020. "Exchange rate regimes and market integration: evidence from the dynamic relations between renminbi onshore and offshore markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. You, Zhongyuan & Goodwin, Barry K. & Guney, Selin, 2023. "A semi-parametric study on dynamic linkages among international real interest rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 215-229.
    11. Muhammad Omer & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2014. "Testing uncovered interest rate parity using LIBOR," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(30), pages 3708-3723, October.
    12. Chan, Tze-Haw & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, 2012. "Financial Integration between China and Asia Pacific Trading Partners: Parities Evidence from the First- and Second-generation Panel Tests," MPRA Paper 37801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Lamey, L. & Deleersnyder, B. & Dekimpe, M.G. & Steenkamp, J-B.E.M., 2005. "The Impact of Business-Cycle Fluctuations on Private-Label Share," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2005-061-MKT, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    14. Ronald MacDonald & Jun Nagayasu, 2000. "The Long-Run Relationship Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials: A Panel Study," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 47(1), pages 1-5.
    15. Imed Drine & Christophe Rault, 2009. "Une analyse économétrique des sources de fluctuations du taux de change réel dans trois pays en développement. Le cas du Maroc, des Philippines et de l'Uruguay," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 60(6), pages 1421-1453.
    16. Roberto Astolfi & Dominique Ladiray & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2001. "Business Cycle Extraction of Euro-Zone GDP: Direct versus Indirect Approach," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 70(3), pages 377-398.
    17. Mustapha Olalekan Ojo & Luís Aguiar‐Conraria & Maria Joana Soares, 2024. "The performance of OECD's composite leading indicator," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2265-2277, April.
    18. Camarero, Mariam & Tamarit, Cecilio, 2002. "A panel cointegration approach to the estimation of the peseta real exchange rate," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 371-393, September.
    19. Bathia, Deven & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2021. "Unemployment fluctuations and currency returns in the United Kingdom: Evidence from over one and a half century of data," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    20. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil‐Alana, 2004. "Fractional cointegration and real exchange rates," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(4), pages 327-340.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial liquidity; Shibor; exchange rate; time series;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:10:y:2018:i:5:p:87-95. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Canadian Center of Science and Education (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.