IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hin/complx/4727868.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Price Linkage Rumors in the Stock Market and Investor Risk Contagion on Bilayer-Coupled Networks

Author

Listed:
  • Yue Dong
  • Jiepeng Wang
  • Tingqiang Chen

Abstract

Investor heterogeneities include investor risk preference, investor risk cognitive level, information value, and investor influence. From the perspective of the stock price linkage, this article constructs an SCIR contagion model of investor risk on a single-layer network. It digs out the investor risk caused by rumors in the stock market under the stock price linkage and its contagion mechanism. The function and influence of different mechanism probabilities and investor heterogeneities on the effects of risk contagion in the stock market are explored through computer simulation. Based on the SCIR contagion model of investor risk on single-layer network, we construct an SCI 1 I 2 R contagion model of investor risk on bilayer-coupled networks. Initially, the evolution mechanisms of investor risk contagion in the stock market are compared in single-layer and bilayer-coupled networks. Thereafter, the evolution characteristics and rules of investor risk contagion under different connection modes and heterogeneous mechanism probabilities are compared on bilayer-coupled networks. The results corroborate the following. (1) In the SCIR contagion model of investor risk on a single-layer network, immune failure probability and immune probability have the “global effect”. (2) Investor heterogeneities both have “global effect” and “local effect” on investor risk contagion. (3) Compared with the investor risk contagion on a single-layer network, bilayer-coupled networks can expand the investor risk contagion and have a “global enhancement” effect. (4) Among the three interlayer connection modes of the SCI 1 I 2 R model of investor risk contagion on bilayer-coupled networks, the assortative link has the effect of “local enhancement”, while the disassortative link has the effect of “local inhibition”. (5) In the SCI 1 I 2 R model of investor risk contagion on bilayer-coupled networks, heterogeneous mechanism probabilities have “global effect” and “local effect”. The research conclusion provides a theoretical basis for regulators to prevent financial risks from spreading among different investors, which is of high theoretical value and practical significance.

Suggested Citation

  • Yue Dong & Jiepeng Wang & Tingqiang Chen, 2019. "Price Linkage Rumors in the Stock Market and Investor Risk Contagion on Bilayer-Coupled Networks," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-21, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:complx:4727868
    DOI: 10.1155/2019/4727868
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/8503/2019/4727868.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/8503/2019/4727868.xml
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1155/2019/4727868?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Jianwei & Jiang, Chen & Qian, Jianfei, 2014. "Robustness of interdependent networks with different link patterns against cascading failures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 393(C), pages 535-541.
    2. Baker, Malcolm & Stein, Jeremy C., 2004. "Market liquidity as a sentiment indicator," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 271-299, June.
    3. Alexander von Felbert, 2015. "Network Structure and Counterparty Credit Risk," Papers 1504.06789, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
    4. Pound, John & Zeckhauser, Richard J, 1990. "Clearly Heard on the Street: The Effect of Takeover Rumors on Stock Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(3), pages 291-308, July.
    5. Mark Grinblatt & Matti Keloharju, 2001. "What Makes Investors Trade?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 589-616, April.
    6. Mohamed Zouaoui & Geneviève Nouyrigat & Francisca Beer, 2011. "How does investor sentiment affect stock market crises?Evidence from panel data," Working Papers CREGO 1110304, Université de Bourgogne - CREGO EA7317 Centre de recherches en gestion des organisations.
    7. Kosfeld, Michael, 2005. "Rumours and markets," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 646-664, September.
    8. Tingqiang Chen & Lei Wang & Jining Wang & Qi Yang, 2017. "A Network Diffusion Model of Food Safety Scare Behavior considering Information Transparency," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-16, December.
    9. John Y. Campbell, 2000. "Asset Pricing at the Millennium," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1515-1567, August.
    10. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    11. Halil Kiymaz, 2002. "The stock market rumours and stock prices: a test of price pressure and size effect in an emerging market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 469-474.
    12. Peter M. Clarkson & Daniel Joyce & Irene Tutticci, 2006. "Market reaction to takeover rumour in Internet Discussion Sites," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 46(1), pages 31-52, March.
    13. Nadia Linciano & Caterina Lucarelli & Monica Gentile & Paola Soccorso, 2018. "How financial information disclosure affects risk perception. Evidence from Italian investors’ behaviour," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(15), pages 1311-1332, October.
    14. Mohamed Zouaoui & Geneviève Nouyrigat & Francisca Beer, 2011. "How Does Investor Sentiment Affect Stock Market Crises? Evidence from Panel Data," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 723-747, November.
    15. John M. Griffin & Federico Nardari & René M. Stulz, 2007. "Do Investors Trade More When Stocks Have Performed Well? Evidence from 46 Countries," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(3), pages 905-951.
    16. Yuan Gao & Derek Oler, 2012. "Rumors and pre-announcement trading: why sell target stocks before acquisition announcements?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 485-508, November.
    17. Anders Johansen & Didier Sornette, 2001. "Bubbles And Anti-Bubbles In Latin-American, Asian And Western Stock Markets: An Empirical Study," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(06), pages 853-920.
    18. Zan, Yongli & Wu, Jianliang & Li, Ping & Yu, Qinglin, 2014. "SICR rumor spreading model in complex networks: Counterattack and self-resistance," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 159-170.
    19. Wang, Jun & Zhou, Bin & Wang, Wei, 2019. "Information spreading on multirelational networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 21-28.
    20. Sergey V. Buldyrev & Roni Parshani & Gerald Paul & H. Eugene Stanley & Shlomo Havlin, 2010. "Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 464(7291), pages 1025-1028, April.
    21. Egan, Daniel & Merkle, Christoph & Weber, Martin, 2014. "Second-order beliefs and the individual investor," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 652-666.
    22. Nekovee, M. & Moreno, Y. & Bianconi, G. & Marsili, M., 2007. "Theory of rumour spreading in complex social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 374(1), pages 457-470.
    23. Miller, Edward M, 1977. "Risk, Uncertainty, and Divergence of Opinion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 32(4), pages 1151-1168, September.
    24. Villatoro, Félix, 2009. "The delegated portfolio management problem: Reputation and herding," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 2062-2069, November.
    25. Mohamed Zouaoui & G. Nouyrigat & F. Beer, 2011. "How Does Investor Sentiment Affect StockMarket Crises? Evidence from Panel Data," Post-Print halshs-00785809, HAL.
    26. Andrei, Daniel & Cujean, Julien, 2017. "Information percolation, momentum and reversal," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 617-645.
    27. John R. Nofsinger & Richard W. Sias, 1999. "Herding and Feedback Trading by Institutional and Individual Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(6), pages 2263-2295, December.
    28. Zhao, Laijun & Wang, Jiajia & Chen, Yucheng & Wang, Qin & Cheng, Jingjing & Cui, Hongxin, 2012. "SIHR rumor spreading model in social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(7), pages 2444-2453.
    29. Chen, Tingqiang & Wang, Jiepeng & Liu, Haifei & He, Yuanping, 2019. "Contagion model on counterparty credit risk in the CRT market by considering the heterogeneity of counterparties and preferential-random mixing attachment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 458-480.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dong-Rui Chen & Chuang Liu & Yi-Cheng Zhang & Zi-Ke Zhang, 2019. "Predicting Financial Extremes Based on Weighted Visual Graph of Major Stock Indices," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-17, October.
    2. Wang, Mengyao & Pan, Qiuhui & He, Mingfeng, 2020. "The effect of individual attitude on cooperation in social dilemma," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 555(C).
    3. Wang, Jiepeng & Zhou, Hong & Jin, Xiaodan, 2021. "Risk transmission in complex supply chain network with multi-drivers," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Lei & Li, Shouwei & Chen, Tingqiang, 2019. "Investor behavior, information disclosure strategy and counterparty credit risk contagion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 37-49.
    2. Pedro Manuel Nogueira Reis & Carlos Pinho, 2021. "A Reappraisal of the Causal Relationship between Sentiment Proxies and Stock Returns," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 420-442, October.
    3. Chiu, Junmao & Chung, Huimin & Ho, Keng-Yu & Wu, Chih-Chiang, 2018. "Investor sentiment and evaporating liquidity during the financial crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 21-36.
    4. Li, Dandan & Ma, Jing, 2017. "How the government’s punishment and individual’s sensitivity affect the rumor spreading in online social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 284-292.
    5. Tingqiang Chen & Binqing Xiao & Haifei Liu, 2018. "Credit Risk Contagion in an Evolving Network Model Integrating Spillover Effects and Behavioral Interventions," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-16, March.
    6. Economou, Fotini & Panagopoulos, Yannis & Tsouma, Ekaterini, 2018. "Uncovering asymmetries in the relationship between fear and the stock market using a hidden co-integration approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 459-470.
    7. Jinxian Li & Yanping Hu & Zhen Jin, 2019. "Rumor Spreading of an SIHR Model in Heterogeneous Networks Based on Probability Generating Function," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, June.
    8. Huo, Liang’an & Jiang, Jiehui & Gong, Sixing & He, Bing, 2016. "Dynamical behavior of a rumor transmission model with Holling-type II functional response in emergency event," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 228-240.
    9. Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2023. "Are Islamic stocks immune from financial crises? Evidence from contagion tests," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 919-948.
    10. David Hirshleifer, 2001. "Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1533-1597, August.
    11. Anand, Abhinav & Basu, Sankarshan & Pathak, Jalaj & Thampy, Ashok, 2021. "The impact of sentiment on emerging stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 161-177.
    12. Ma, Jing & Li, Dandan & Tian, Zihao, 2016. "Rumor spreading in online social networks by considering the bipolar social reinforcement," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 447(C), pages 108-115.
    13. Maitra, Debasish & Dash, Saumya Ranjan, 2017. "Sentiment and stock market volatility revisited: A time–frequency domain approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 74-91.
    14. Kanzari, Dalel & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Gaies, Brahim & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2023. "Predicting macro-financial instability – How relevant is sentiment? Evidence from long short-term memory networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    15. Mehwish Aziz Khan & Eatzaz Ahmad, 2018. "Measurement of Investor Sentiment and Its Bi-Directional Contemporaneous and Lead–Lag Relationship with Returns: Evidence from Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, December.
    16. Wu, Qinqin & Hao, Ying & Lu, Jing, 2017. "Investor sentiment, idiosyncratic risk, and mispricing of American Depository Receipt," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-14.
    17. Rilwan Sakariyahu & Mohamed Sherif & Audrey Paterson & Eleni Chatzivgeri, 2021. "Sentiment‐Apt investors and UK sector returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3321-3351, July.
    18. Loann David Denis Desboulets, 2017. "Co-movements in Market Prices and Fundamentals: A Semiparametric Multivariate GARCH Approach," Working Papers halshs-02059302, HAL.
    19. Xiao Han & Nikolaos Sakkas & Jo Danbolt & Arman Eshraghi, 2022. "Persistence of investor sentiment and market mispricing," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 617-640, August.
    20. Hu, May & Chao, Chi-Chur & Lim, Jin Hao, 2016. "Another explanation of the mutual fund fee puzzle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 134-152.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hin:complx:4727868. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mohamed Abdelhakeem (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.hindawi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.