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Redistribution and military coups

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  • Cuesta, Jose

Abstract

This paper explores the link between redistribution and coups, typically overlooked in the coup literature dealing with incomes, growth and, recently, inequality. The model features three agents — government, opposition, and the military — and maximizes their utilities under two possible scenarios: peace and coup. Using real data from Honduras, the welfare losses associated with a breach of the country’s social contract are estimated to exceed 11 percent of gross domestic product for the opposition to conspire to stage a coup.

Suggested Citation

  • Cuesta, Jose, 2017. "Redistribution and military coups," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 12-31.
  • Handle: RePEc:gok:ijdcv1:v:7:y:2017:i:1:p:12-31
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cuesta, Jose, 2006. "Political Space, Pro-Poor Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy in Honduras," MPRA Paper 12354, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jean-Paul Azam, 2001. "The Redistributive State and Conflicts in Africa," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 38(4), pages 429-444, July.
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    7. Tony Addison & S. Mansoob Murshed, 2002. "Credibility and Reputation in Peacemaking," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 39(4), pages 487-501, July.
    8. Jose Cuesta & Syed Mansoob Murshed, 2012. "On the micro-foundations of contract versus conflict with implications for international peace-making," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 2(2), pages 1250009-125.
    9. Tony Addison & Philippe Le Billon & S. Mansoob Murshed, 2002. "Conflict in Africa: The Cost of Peaceful Behaviour," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 11(3), pages 365-386, September.
    10. S. Mansoob Murshed & Philip Verwimp, 2008. "Enforcing Peace Agreements through Commitment Technologies," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2008-45, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    11. Edward Miguel & Shanker Satyanath & Ernest Sergenti, 2004. "Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(4), pages 725-753, August.
    12. Gudrun Østby, 2008. "Polarization, Horizontal Inequalities and Violent Civil Conflict," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 45(2), pages 143-162, March.
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