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Optimizing the Growing Dual Credit Requirements for Automobile Manufacturers in China’s Dual Credit Policy

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  • Chonglian Li

    (School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China)

Abstract

Dual credit policy (DCP) is a market-based mechanism introduced by the Chinese government to promote the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry and improve energy savings in China. To offer sufficient impetus for the NEV industry while providing sufficient transitional buffer time for automobile manufacturers (AMs), the government needs to scientifically design how to gradually increase its dual credit requirement for AMs year by year. To assist the multi-year DCP design, this paper proposes a generalized Nash equilibrium model to predict AMs’ short-term decisions (i.e., vehicle production and credit trading) and long-term decisions (i.e., investment in production capacity expansion and research and development) under any DCP, considering the interactions among AMs’ decisions, vehicle prices, and credit price. Based on the equilibrium model, we then develop a bi-level programming problem to optimize the multi-year DCP. With numerical experiments, we show that implementing the optimal DCP can effectively enhance the market share of NEVs. In the context of the optimal multi-year DCP, the credit requirements set by the government should maintain a relatively low threshold during the initial years, but rise rapidly after that. Such optimal DCP offers AMs sufficient transition time while compelling a quick shift in their developmental strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Chonglian Li, 2023. "Optimizing the Growing Dual Credit Requirements for Automobile Manufacturers in China’s Dual Credit Policy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-24, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:22:p:15884-:d:1279037
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cheng, Yongwei & Fan, Tijun, 2021. "Production coopetition strategies for an FV automaker and a competitive NEV automaker under the dual-credit policy," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    2. Meng, Weidong & Ma, Miaomiao & Li, Yuyu & Huang, Bo, 2022. "New energy vehicle R&D strategy with supplier capital constraints under China's dual credit policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    3. Ma, Miaomiao & Meng, Weidong & Huang, Bo & Li, Yuyu, 2023. "The influence of dual credit policy on new energy vehicle technology innovation under demand forecast information asymmetry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
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