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Estimating Supply and Demand of Organic Seeds in Europe Using Survey Data and MI Techniques

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  • Francesco Solfanelli

    (Department of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences (D3A), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy)

  • Emel Ozturk

    (Department of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences (D3A), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy)

  • Emilia Cubero Dudinskaya

    (Department of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences (D3A), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy)

  • Serena Mandolesi

    (Department of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences (D3A), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy)

  • Stefano Orsini

    (Organic Research Centre, Trent Lodge, Stroud Road, Cirencester, Gloucestershire GL7 6JN, UK)

  • Monika Messmer

    (Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL), Ackerstrasse 113, 5070 Frick, Switzerland)

  • Simona Naspetti

    (Dipartimento di Scienze e Ingegneria della Materia, dell’Ambiente ed Urbanistica (SIMAU), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy)

  • Freya Schaefer

    (FiBL Deutschland, Kasseler Straße 1a, 60486 Frankfurt am Main, Germany)

  • Eva Winter

    (Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL), Ackerstrasse 113, 5070 Frick, Switzerland)

  • Raffaele Zanoli

    (Department of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences (D3A), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, 60131 Ancona, Italy)

Abstract

The lack of sufficient information about organic seed production and use is among the key factors affecting the development of the organic seed market in the EU. Currently, only very basic organic seed market data are being reported at the country level. Those available from each member state are seldom comparable over time between countries and sometimes even within one country. This study provides the first overall statistics on European organic seed supply and demand. Estimates of the organic seed demand and supply of twelve important crops in EU organic agriculture are provided by developing and testing innovative approaches to improve data collection and analysis, such as multiple imputation (MI) techniques to estimate missing values. The estimates are based on data extracted from official EU datasets from 2014 to 2018 and collected by an online survey of 756 farmers, as well as various expert assessments across the EU. The results were provided by four EU geographical regions, with a specific focus on wheat, lucerne, carrot, and apple. Although strong sector and regional differences currently characterise the organic seed market, organic seed demand considerably exceeds supply for most crops. Generally, farms in the central and northern regions revealed a higher organic seed supply than those in the southern and eastern regions, and organic seed supply is higher for wheat than other crops. A significant output of this study is the development of recommendations to improve methodologies to increase the transparency and availability of organic seed market data.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Solfanelli & Emel Ozturk & Emilia Cubero Dudinskaya & Serena Mandolesi & Stefano Orsini & Monika Messmer & Simona Naspetti & Freya Schaefer & Eva Winter & Raffaele Zanoli, 2022. "Estimating Supply and Demand of Organic Seeds in Europe Using Survey Data and MI Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-23, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:17:p:10761-:d:900855
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Edwin Nuijten & Monika M. Messmer & Edith T. Lammerts van Bueren, 2016. "Concepts and Strategies of Organic Plant Breeding in Light of Novel Breeding Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, December.
    2. Wesley Eddings & Yulia Marchenko, 2012. "Diagnostics for multiple imputation in Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 12(3), pages 353-367, September.
    3. repec:ipt:iptwpa:jrc80822 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Susanne Padel & Stefano Orsini & Francesco Solfanelli & Raffaele Zanoli, 2021. "Can the Market Deliver 100% Organic Seed and Varieties in Europe?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-14, September.
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    7. Stefano Orsini & Ambrogio Costanzo & Francesco Solfanelli & Raffaele Zanoli & Susanne Padel & Monika M. Messmer & Eva Winter & Freya Schaefer, 2020. "Factors Affecting the Use of Organic Seed by Organic Farmers in Europe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-16, October.
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