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DISARM Early Warning System for Wildfires in the Eastern Mediterranean

Author

Listed:
  • Vassiliki Kotroni

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Constantinos Cartalis

    (Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 15771 Athens, Greece)

  • Silas Michaelides

    (The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia 2121, Cyprus)

  • Julia Stoyanova

    (National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, 1784 Sofia, Bulgaria)

  • Fillipos Tymvios

    (Department of Meteorology, Nicosia 1086, Cyprus)

  • Antonis Bezes

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Theodoros Christoudias

    (The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia 2121, Cyprus)

  • Stavros Dafis

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece
    LMD/IPSL, CNRS UMR 8539, École Polytechnique, Sorbonne Universités, 91128 Palaiseau, France)

  • Christos Giannakopoulos

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Theodore M. Giannaros

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Christo Georgiev

    (National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, 1784 Sofia, Bulgaria)

  • Athanasios Karagiannidis

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Anna Karali

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Ioannis Koletsis

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Konstantinos Lagouvardos

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Ioannis Lemesios

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Thaleia Mavrakou

    (Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 15771 Athens, Greece)

  • Katerina Papagiannaki

    (Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, 15236 Athens, Greece)

  • Anastasios Polydoros

    (Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 15771 Athens, Greece)

  • Yiannis Proestos

    (The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia 2121, Cyprus)

Abstract

This paper discusses the main achievements of DISARM (Drought and fIre ObServatory and eArly waRning system) project, which developed an early warning system for wildfires in the Eastern Mediterranean. The four pillars of this system include (i) forecasting wildfire danger, (ii) detecting wildfires with remote sensing techniques, (iii) forecasting wildfire spread with a coupled weather-fire modeling system, and (iv) assessing the wildfire risk in the frame of climate change. Special emphasis is given to the innovative and replicable parts of the system. It is shown that for the effective use of fire weather forecasting in different geographical areas and in order to account for the local climate conditions, a proper adjustment of the wildfire danger classification is necessary. Additionally, the consideration of vegetation dryness may provide better estimates of wildfire danger. Our study also highlights some deficiencies of both EUMETSAT (Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites) and LSA-SAF (Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis) algorithms in their skill to detect wildfires over islands and near the coastline. To tackle this issue, a relevant modification is proposed. Furthermore, it is shown that IRIS, the coupled atmosphere-fire modeling system developed in the frame of DISARM, has proven to be a valuable supporting tool in fire suppression actions. Finally, assessment of the wildfire danger in the future climate provides the necessary context for the development of regional adaptation strategies to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Vassiliki Kotroni & Constantinos Cartalis & Silas Michaelides & Julia Stoyanova & Fillipos Tymvios & Antonis Bezes & Theodoros Christoudias & Stavros Dafis & Christos Giannakopoulos & Theodore M. Gian, 2020. "DISARM Early Warning System for Wildfires in the Eastern Mediterranean," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-30, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:16:p:6670-:d:400482
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Rajagopal, 2014. "The Human Factors," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Architecting Enterprise, chapter 9, pages 225-249, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. Xianli Wang & Dan Thompson & Ginny Marshall & Cordy Tymstra & Richard Carr & Mike Flannigan, 2015. "Increasing frequency of extreme fire weather in Canada with climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(4), pages 573-586, June.
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