IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v11y2023i4p852-d1060777.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Causal Discovery of Stochastic Dynamical Systems: A Markov Chain Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Marcell Stippinger

    (Wigner Research Centre for Physics, H-1121 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Attila Bencze

    (Wigner Research Centre for Physics, H-1121 Budapest, Hungary
    Electrophysics Institute, Óbuda University, H-1034 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Ádám Zlatniczki

    (Department of Computer Science and Information Theory, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, H-1111 Budapest, Hungary
    Ericsson Hungary, H-1117 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Zoltán Somogyvári

    (Wigner Research Centre for Physics, H-1121 Budapest, Hungary
    Axoncord Ltd., H-1048 Budapest, Hungary)

  • András Telcs

    (Wigner Research Centre for Physics, H-1121 Budapest, Hungary
    Department of Computer Science and Information Theory, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, H-1111 Budapest, Hungary
    Department of Quantitative Methods, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Pannonia, H-8200 Veszprém, Hungary)

Abstract

Our proposed method for exploring the causal discovery of stochastic dynamic systems is designed to overcome the limitations of existing methods in detecting hidden and common drivers. The method is based on a simple principle and is presented in a nonparametric structural vector autoregressive modeling framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcell Stippinger & Attila Bencze & Ádám Zlatniczki & Zoltán Somogyvári & András Telcs, 2023. "Causal Discovery of Stochastic Dynamical Systems: A Markov Chain Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-21, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:4:p:852-:d:1060777
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/4/852/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/4/852/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    2. Mariusz Maziarz, 2015. "A review of the Granger-causality fallacy," The Journal of Philosophical Economics, Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies, The Journal of Philosophical Economics, vol. 8(2), May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Park, Ji Hwan & Chang, Woojin & Song, Jae Wook, 2020. "Link prediction in the Granger causality network of the global currency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    2. Dong Mu & Salman Hanif & Khalid Mehmood Alam & Omer Hanif, 2022. "A Correlative Study of Modern Logistics Industry in Developing Economy and Carbon Emission Using ARDL: A Case of Pakistan," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-18, February.
    3. Kristoffer Persson, 2020. "Economic Reality, Economic Media and Individuals' Expectations," Papers 2007.13823, arXiv.org.
    4. Cristina Boţa-Avram & Adrian Groşanu & Paula-Ramona Răchişan & Marius Dan Gavriletea, 2018. "The Bidirectional Causality between Country-Level Governance, Economic Growth and Sustainable Development: A Cross-Country Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-24, February.
    5. Muhammad Shafique & Anam Azam & Muhammad Rafiq & Xiaowei Luo, 2020. "Evaluating the Relationship between Freight Transport, Economic Prosperity, Urbanization, and CO 2 Emissions: Evidence from Hong Kong, Singapore, and South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-14, December.
    6. Pasquale Tridico & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2018. "Economic growth, welfare models and inequality in the context of globalisation," The Economic and Labour Relations Review, , vol. 29(1), pages 118-139, March.
    7. Emeka Nkoro & Aham Kelvin Uko, 2016. "Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatility and Stock Prices Volatility: Evidence from Nigeria, 1986-2012," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 6(6), pages 1-4.
    8. Czujack, Corinna & Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Ginsburgh, Victor, 1995. "On long-run price comovements between paintings and prints," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 269, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    9. Sotirios Varelas, 2022. "Virtual Immersive Platforms as a Strategic Innovative Destination Marketing Tool in the COVID-19 Era," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-15, October.
    10. Loperfido, Nicola, 2010. "A note on marginal and conditional independence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(23-24), pages 1695-1699, December.
    11. Hyunsoo Kang, 2022. "Impacts of Income Inequality and Economic Growth on CO 2 Emissions: Comparing the Gini Coefficient and the Top Income Share in OECD Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-15, September.
    12. KAMKOUM, Arnaud Cedric, 2023. "The Federal Reserve’s Response to the Global Financial Crisis and its Effects: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis of the Impact of its Quantitative Easing Programs," Thesis Commons d7pvg, Center for Open Science.
    13. Bierens, H.J. & Broersma, L., 1991. "The relation between unemployment and interest rate : some international evidence," Serie Research Memoranda 0112, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    14. Zamani, Mehrzad, 2007. "Energy consumption and economic activities in Iran," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1135-1140, November.
    15. Jumah, Adusei & Kunst, Robert M., 2001. "The Effects of Exchange-Rate Exposures on Equity Asset Markets," Economics Series 94, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    16. Muhammad Shafiullah & Ravinthirakumaran Navaratnam, 2016. "Do Bangladesh and Sri Lanka Enjoy Export-Led Growth? A Comparison of Two Small South Asian Economies," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 17(1), pages 114-132, March.
    17. Portes, Richard & Santorum, Anita, 1987. "Money and the consumption goods market in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 354-371, September.
    18. Alberto Fuertes & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2019. "“Forecasting emerging market currencies: Are inflation expectations useful?”," IREA Working Papers 201918, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2019.
    19. Diana Ricciulli-Marín, 2020. "The Fiscal Cost of Conflict: Evidence from La Violencia in Colombia," Cuadernos de Historia Económica 53, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    20. Wesam Salah Alaloul & Muhammad Ali Musarat & Muhammad Babar Ali Rabbani & Qaiser Iqbal & Ahsen Maqsoom & Waqas Farooq, 2021. "Construction Sector Contribution to Economic Stability: Malaysian GDP Distribution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-26, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:4:p:852-:d:1060777. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.