IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v17y2024i17p4414-d1470405.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Determination of Demand for LNG in Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Ewelina Orysiak

    (Faculty of Navigation, Maritime University of Szczecin, 1/2 Wały Chrobrego Street, 70-500 Szczecin, Poland)

  • Mykhaylo Shuper

    (Faculty of Navigation, Maritime University of Szczecin, 1/2 Wały Chrobrego Street, 70-500 Szczecin, Poland)

Abstract

This study was aimed at improving the energy efficiency of the distribution of liquefied natural gas (LNG) as shipping fuel in the southern Baltic Sea. The objective of this study was to determine the demand for LNG for maritime shipping by analyzing the distribution of the resource from the water side (ship-to-ship). LNG was chosen due to the location of the LNG terminal in Świnoujście within the analyzed water area, where a problem has arisen in the southern part of the Baltic Sea regarding fuel supply for vessels due to the lack of developed infrastructure along the coast. An analysis was conducted to optimize the size of the LNG fleet and infrastructure facilities. Seeking compliance with Annex VI to the MARPOL 73/78 Convention, adopted by the International Maritime Organization (IMO), shipowners see potential in the switch from conventional fuels to LNG. As one of the alternative solutions, it will contribute to reducing harmful emissions. Determination of the LNG distribution volume requires the identification of LNG storage facility locations, specifying the number of LNG-powered ships (broken down by type) and the number of LNG bunkering ships. The first part of this study contains a detailed analysis of the number of sea-going ships that provide services in the southern part of the Baltic Sea and the world’s number of LNG bunkering ships. The database contains a set of the characteristics required to determine the optimal demand for LNG, where LNG bunkering vessels are capable of supplying fuel within the shortest possible time and covering the shortest possible distance to LNG-powered ships. The characteristics include the type of ship, requested LNG volume, the speed of LNG bunkering ships, the distance between LNG facilities, and the loading rate (the volume of fuel received per time unit). Based on the collected data, the volume of LNG distribution was determined using MATLAB R2019a software. The remainder of this study contains a description of the conducted research and results of an analysis of the traffic density in the Baltic Sea. The results were obtained on the basis of data from the Statistical Yearbook of Maritime Economy and IALA IWRAP Mk2 2020 software. The number of LNG-powered ships and number of LNG bunkering ships were specified, and the demand for LNG for the area under analysis was determined.

Suggested Citation

  • Ewelina Orysiak & Mykhaylo Shuper, 2024. "Determination of Demand for LNG in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-23, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:17:p:4414-:d:1470405
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/17/4414/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/17/4414/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Riaz, Amjad & Qyyum, Muhammad Abdul & Min, Seongwoong & Lee, Sanggyu & Lee, Moonyong, 2021. "Performance improvement potential of harnessing LNG regasification for hydrogen liquefaction process: Energy and exergy perspectives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    2. Maxwell, Don & Zhu, Zhen, 2011. "Natural gas prices, LNG transport costs, and the dynamics of LNG imports," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 217-226, March.
    3. Jokinen, Raine & Pettersson, Frank & Saxén, Henrik, 2015. "An MILP model for optimization of a small-scale LNG supply chain along a coastline," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 423-431.
    4. George Livadiotis, 2020. "Statistical analysis of the impact of environmental temperature on the exponential growth rate of cases infected by COVID-19," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, May.
    5. Fahmy, M.F.M. & Nabih, H.I. & El-Rasoul, T.A., 2015. "Optimization and comparative analysis of LNG regasification processes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 371-385.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ewelina Orysiak & Hubert Zielski & Mateusz Gawle, 2024. "LNG Logistics Model to Meet Demand for Bunker Fuel," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-22, April.
    2. Shi, Xunpeng & Padinjare Variam, Hari Malamakkavu, 2016. "Gas and LNG trading hubs, hub indexation and destination flexibility in East Asia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 587-596.
    3. Zhang, Rui & Cao, Xuewen & Zhang, Xingwang & Yang, Jian & Bian, Jiang, 2024. "Co-benefits of the liquid hydrogen economy and LNG economy: Advances in LNG integrating LH2 production processes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    4. Kuk, Edyta & Małkus, Bartłomiej & Kuk, Michał, 2020. "Small-scale LNG Market Optimization – Intelligent Distribution Network," Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference (2020), Virtual Conference, in: Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference, Virtual Conference, 10-12 September 2020, pages 522-530, IRENET - Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, Zagreb.
    5. Mujammil Asdhiyoga Rahmanta & Anna Maria Sri Asih & Bertha Maya Sopha & Bennaron Sulancana & Prasetyo Adi Wibowo & Eko Hariyostanto & Ibnu Jourga Septiangga & Bangkit Tsani Annur Saputra, 2025. "Insights into Small-Scale LNG Supply Chains for Cost-Efficient Power Generation in Indonesia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(8), pages 1-29, April.
    6. Koza, David Franz & Ropke, Stefan & Boleda Molas, Anna, 2017. "The liquefied natural gas infrastructure and tanker fleet sizing problem," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 96-114.
    7. Fernández, Ignacio Arias & Gómez, Manuel Romero & Gómez, Javier Romero & Insua, Álvaro Baaliña, 2017. "Review of propulsion systems on LNG carriers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1395-1411.
    8. Elrhoul, Doha & Naveiro, Manuel & Gómez, Manuel Romero & Adams, Thomas A., 2025. "Thermo-economic analysis of green hydrogen production onboard LNG carriers through solid oxide electrolysis powered by organic Rankine cycles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 380(C).
    9. Qiao, Yan & Jiang, Wenquan & Li, Yang & Dong, Xiaoxiao & Yang, Fan, 2024. "Design and analysis of steam methane reforming hydrogen liquefaction and waste heat recovery system based on liquefied natural gas cold energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    10. Davide Borelli & Francesco Devia & Corrado Schenone & Federico Silenzi & Luca A. Tagliafico, 2021. "Dynamic Modelling of LNG Powered Combined Energy Systems in Port Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-18, June.
    11. Sachajdak, Andrzej & Lappalainen, Jari & Mikkonen, Hannu, 2019. "Dynamic simulation in development of contemporary energy systems – oxy combustion case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 964-973.
    12. Park, Minji & Gbadago, Dela Quarme & Jung, Hyungjun & Hwang, Sungwon, 2025. "Achieving optimal energy efficiency, enhanced exergy performance, and comprehensive economic analysis in hydrogen refrigeration systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    13. Ali Rehman & Muhammad Abdul Qyyum & Ashfaq Ahmad & Saad Nawaz & Moonyong Lee & Li Wang, 2020. "Performance Enhancement of Nitrogen Dual Expander and Single Mixed Refrigerant LNG Processes Using Jaya Optimization Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-27, June.
    14. Yonezawa, Koichi & Richards, Timothy J., 2016. "Competitive Package Size Decisions," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 92(4), pages 445-469.
    15. Najm, Sarah & Matsumoto, Ken'ichi, 2020. "Does renewable energy substitute LNG international trade in the energy transition?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    16. Camargo, Tathiany R. Moreira de & Merschmann, Paulo Roberto de C. & Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez & Szklo, Alexandre, 2014. "Major challenges for developing unconventional gas in Brazil – Will water resources impede the development of the Country׳s industry?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 60-71.
    17. Khurshid, Adnan & Khan, Khalid & Rauf, Abdur & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2024. "Effect of geopolitical risk on resources prices in the global and Russian-Ukrainian context: A novel Bayesian structural model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    18. Fengyuan Yan & Jinliang Geng & Guangxin Rong & Heng Sun & Lei Zhang & Jinxu Li, 2023. "Optimization and Analysis of an Integrated Liquefaction Process for Hydrogen and Natural Gas Utilizing Mixed Refrigerant Pre-Cooling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-18, May.
    19. Bittante, A. & Pettersson, F. & Saxén, H., 2018. "Optimization of a small-scale LNG supply chain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 79-89.
    20. Nick, Sebastian & Thoenes, Stefan, 2014. "What drives natural gas prices? — A structural VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 517-527.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:17:p:4414-:d:1470405. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.