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An IHPO-WNN-Based Federated Learning System for Area-Wide Power Load Forecasting Considering Data Security Protection

Author

Listed:
  • Bujin Shi

    (Kunming Power Supply Bureau, Yunnan Power Grid Co., Ltd., Kunming 650011, China)

  • Xinbo Zhou

    (Faculty of Information Engineering and Automation, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, China)

  • Peilin Li

    (Kunming Power Supply Bureau, Yunnan Power Grid Co., Ltd., Kunming 650011, China)

  • Wenyu Ma

    (Faculty of Civil Aviation and Aeronautics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, China)

  • Nan Pan

    (Faculty of Civil Aviation and Aeronautics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, China)

Abstract

With the rapid growth of power demand and the advancement of new power system intelligence, smart energy measurement system data quality and security are also facing the influence of diversified factors. To solve the series of problems such as low data prediction efficiency, poor security perception, and “data islands” of the new power system, this paper proposes a federated learning system based on the Improved Hunter–Prey Optimizer Optimized Wavelet Neural Network (IHPO-WNN) for the whole-domain power load prediction. An improved HPO algorithm based on Sine chaotic mapping, dynamic boundaries, and a parallel search mechanism is first proposed to improve the prediction and generalization ability of wavelet neural network models. Further considering the data privacy in each station area and the potential threat of cyber-attacks, a localized differential privacy-based federated learning architecture for load prediction is designed by using the above IHPO-WNN as a base model. In this paper, the actual dataset of a smart energy measurement master station is selected, and simulation experiments are carried out through MATLAB software to test and examine the performance of IHPO-WNN and the federal learning system, respectively, and the results show that the method proposed in this paper has high prediction accuracy and excellent practical performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Bujin Shi & Xinbo Zhou & Peilin Li & Wenyu Ma & Nan Pan, 2023. "An IHPO-WNN-Based Federated Learning System for Area-Wide Power Load Forecasting Considering Data Security Protection," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-20, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:19:p:6921-:d:1252366
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bashiri Behmiri, Niaz & Fezzi, Carlo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023. "Incorporating air temperature into mid-term electricity load forecasting models using time-series regressions and neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    2. Jiang, Yuqi & Gao, Tianlu & Dai, Yuxin & Si, Ruiqi & Hao, Jun & Zhang, Jun & Gao, David Wenzhong, 2022. "Very short-term residential load forecasting based on deep-autoformer," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    3. Bu, Xiangya & Wu, Qiuwei & Zhou, Bin & Li, Canbing, 2023. "Hybrid short-term load forecasting using CGAN with CNN and semi-supervised regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    4. Xian, Huafeng & Che, Jinxing, 2022. "Multi-space collaboration framework based optimal model selection for power load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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