IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v15y2022i14p5153-d863870.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Towards Optimized ARMGs’ Low-Carbon Transition Investment Decision Based on Real Options

Author

Listed:
  • Ang Yang

    (School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

  • Xiangyu Meng

    (School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

  • He He

    (School of Economics, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China)

  • Liang Wang

    (School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China)

  • Jing Gao

    (UniSA STEM, University of South Australia, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia)

Abstract

As a critical node of the global transportation network, ports have great potential in promoting transportation emission reduction. Promoting the low-carbon transition of ports by using clean energy is effective. Using hydrogen energy in automated container terminals (ACTs) has become popular in port emission-reduction research. The research object is the main port equipment—the automated rail-mounted container gantry crane (ARMG). This research designs a staged investment decision-making scheme for ARMGs’ hydrogen energy transition. The Internet of Things (IoT) architecture in ACTs collects ARMG equipment operation and carbon emission data. It provides a basis for data acquisition in ARMGs’ hydrogen energy transition. Furthermore, ports can adopt big data technology to analyze the correlation between equipment operation and carbon emissions. Finally, the digital twin platform will visualize the ARMG equipment operation and carbon emission behavior to remote operators. These advanced technologies can achieve status monitoring and simulation prediction, which will support ARMGs’ hydrogen energy transition. However, the ARMGs’ hydrogen energy transition has a long cycle, large investment, and strong variability. Ports should make staged investment decisions based on the digital twin platform’s status monitoring and simulation prediction analysis results. Therefore, this research establishes an optimization model for ARMGs’ low-carbon transition investment decision based on the real options method, and analyzes the staged investment scale and timing of ARMGs’ hydrogen energy transition. The results provide a popularized decision-making scheme for the low-carbon transition of ports’ equipment, which could facilitate the low-carbon transition of ports’ equipment.

Suggested Citation

  • Ang Yang & Xiangyu Meng & He He & Liang Wang & Jing Gao, 2022. "Towards Optimized ARMGs’ Low-Carbon Transition Investment Decision Based on Real Options," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-16, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:14:p:5153-:d:863870
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/14/5153/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/14/5153/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Balliauw, Matteo, 2021. "From theoretical real options models to pragmatic decision making: Required steps, opportunities and threats," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Fan, Jing-Li & Xu, Mao & Yang, Lin & Zhang, Xian, 2019. "Benefit evaluation of investment in CCS retrofitting of coal-fired power plants and PV power plants in China based on real options," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Wang, Lifen & Liang, Chengji & Shi, Jian & Molavi, Anahita & Lim, Gino & Zhang, Yue, 2021. "A bilevel hybrid economic approach for optimal deployment of onshore power supply in maritime ports," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    4. Yunesky Masip Macía & Pablo Rodríguez Machuca & Angel Alexander Rodríguez Soto & Roberto Carmona Campos, 2021. "Green Hydrogen Value Chain in the Sustainability for Port Operations: Case Study in the Region of Valparaiso, Chile," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Yun Peng & Wenyuan Wang & Ke Liu & Xiangda Li & Qi Tian, 2018. "The Impact of the Allocation of Facilities on Reducing Carbon Emissions from a Green Container Terminal Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-19, May.
    6. Tatiana Ponomarenko & Eugene Marin & Sergey Galevskiy, 2022. "Economic Evaluation of Oil and Gas Projects: Justification of Engineering Solutions in the Implementation of Field Development Projects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-22, April.
    7. Li Li & Jiadong Zhu & Guanqiong Ye & Xuehao Feng, 2018. "Development of Green Ports with the Consideration of Coastal Wave Energy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, November.
    8. Zhang, M.M. & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn & Ding, H., 2019. "Evaluating uncertain investment decisions in low-carbon transition toward renewable energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 1049-1060.
    9. Pimentel, Pedro & Couto, Gualter & Tavares, André & Oliveira, André, 2021. "The impacts of real options analysis on EU co-financing policy: the case of Ponta Delgada Port in the Azores," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Zhang, Mingming & Liu, Liyun & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn, 2020. "Valuing investment decisions of renewable energy projects considering changing volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    11. Jia, Zhijie & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "How to achieve the first step of the carbon-neutrality 2060 target in China: The coal substitution perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    12. Ferioli, F. & Schoots, K. & van der Zwaan, B.C.C., 2009. "Use and limitations of learning curves for energy technology policy: A component-learning hypothesis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2525-2535, July.
    13. Bangjun, Wang & Feng, Zhaolei & Feng, Ji & Yu, Pan & Cui, Linyu, 2022. "Decision making on investments in photovoltaic power generation projects based on renewable portfolio standard: Perspective of real option," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 1033-1045.
    14. Vichos, Emmanouil & Sifakis, Nikolaos & Tsoutsos, Theocharis, 2022. "Challenges of integrating hydrogen energy storage systems into nearly zero-energy ports," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    15. Wang, Tingsong & Wang, Xinchang & Meng, Qiang, 2018. "Joint berth allocation and quay crane assignment under different carbon taxation policies," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PA), pages 18-36.
    16. Sahar Azarkamand & Alsnosy Balbaa & Christopher Wooldridge & Rosa Mari Darbra, 2020. "Climate Change—Challenges and Response Options for the Port Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-14, August.
    17. Wei Wang & Li Huang & Jian Gu & Liupeng Jiang, 2019. "Green port project scheduling with comprehensive efficiency consideration," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(8), pages 967-981, November.
    18. Martínez-Moya, Julián & Vazquez-Paja, Barbara & Gimenez Maldonado, Jose Andrés, 2019. "Energy efficiency and CO2 emissions of port container terminal equipment: Evidence from the Port of Valencia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 312-319.
    19. Martine Van den Boomen & Sjoerd Van der Meulen & Jonathan Van Ekris & Roel Spanjers & Olle Ten Voorde & Janwim Mulder & Peter Blommaart, 2021. "Optimized Expansion Strategy for a Hydrogen Pipe Network in the Port of Rotterdam with Compound Real Options Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-23, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Milena Kajba & Borut Jereb & Tina Cvahte Ojsteršek, 2023. "Exploring Digital Twins in the Transport and Energy Fields: A Bibliometrics and Literature Review Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-23, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Changhui & Jiang, Qi & Cui, Yangyu & He, Lijun, 2023. "Photovoltaic project investment based on the real options method: An analysis of the East China power grid region," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Sun, Bo & Fan, Boyang & Zhang, Yifan & Xie, Jingdong, 2023. "Investment decisions and strategies of China's energy storage technology under policy uncertainty: A real options approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    3. Casper Boongaling Agaton, 2022. "Will a Geopolitical Conflict Accelerate Energy Transition in Oil-Importing Countries? A Case Study of the Philippines from a Real Options Perspective," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-17, June.
    4. Mombello, Bruno & Olsina, Fernando & Pringles, Rolando, 2023. "Valuing photovoltaic power plants by compound real options," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    5. Song, Yazhi & Liu, Tiansen & Ye, Bin & Li, Yin, 2020. "Linking carbon market and electricity market for promoting the grid parity of photovoltaic electricity in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    6. Zhang, Mingming & Tang, Yamei & Liu, Liyun & Zhou, Dequn, 2022. "Optimal investment portfolio strategies for power enterprises under multi-policy scenarios of renewable energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    7. Chen, Si-Yuan & Xue, Meng-Tian & Wang, Zhao-Hua & Tian, Xin & Zhang, Bin, 2022. "Exploring pathways of phasing out clean heating subsidies for rural residential buildings in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    8. Hanyu Lu & Lufei Huang, 2021. "Optimization of Shore Power Deployment in Green Ports Considering Government Subsidies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-14, February.
    9. Àlex Alonso-Travesset & Diederik Coppitters & Helena Martín & Jordi de la Hoz, 2023. "Economic and Regulatory Uncertainty in Renewable Energy System Design: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-30, January.
    10. Liu, Wan-Yu & Chiang, Yi-Hua & Lin, Chun-Cheng, 2022. "Adopting renewable energies to meet the carbon reduction target: Is forest carbon sequestration cheaper?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    11. Arnaud de La Tour & Matthieu Glachant & Yann Ménière, 2013. "What cost for photovoltaic modules in 2020? Lessons from experience curve models," Working Papers hal-00805668, HAL.
    12. Jungmin An & Dong-Kwan Kim & Jinyeong Lee & Sung-Kwan Joo, 2021. "Least Squares Monte Carlo Simulation-Based Decision-Making Method for Photovoltaic Investment in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-14, September.
    13. Ding, Song & Tao, Zui & Zhang, Huahan & Li, Yao, 2022. "Forecasting nuclear energy consumption in China and America: An optimized structure-adaptative grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    14. Xiang, Yue & Wu, Gang & Shen, Xiaodong & Ma, Yuhang & Gou, Jing & Xu, Weiting & Liu, Junyong, 2021. "Low-carbon economic dispatch of electricity-gas systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    15. Yao, Xilong & Liu, Yang & Qu, Shiyou, 2015. "When will wind energy achieve grid parity in China? – Connecting technological learning and climate finance," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 697-704.
    16. Rochedo, Pedro R.R. & Szklo, Alexandre, 2013. "Designing learning curves for carbon capture based on chemical absorption according to the minimum work of separation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 383-391.
    17. M. Jaber & Z. Givi, 2015. "Imperfect production process with learning and forgetting effects," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 129-152, January.
    18. Lijuan Zhang & Tatyana Ponomarenko, 2023. "Directions for Sustainable Development of China’s Coal Industry in the Post-Epidemic Era," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-32, April.
    19. Vaziri Rad, Mohammad Amin & Kasaeian, Alibakhsh & Niu, Xiaofeng & Zhang, Kai & Mahian, Omid, 2023. "Excess electricity problem in off-grid hybrid renewable energy systems: A comprehensive review from challenges to prevalent solutions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 538-560.
    20. Zhang, Jiaye & Chen, Chongming & Zhou, Ao & Rahman, Zia ur & Wang, Xuebin & Stojiljković, Dragoslava & Manić, Nebojsa & Vujanović, Milan & Tan, Houzhang, 2022. "Morphology of char particles from coal pyrolysis in a pressurized entrained flow reactor: Effects of pressure and atmosphere," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:14:p:5153-:d:863870. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.