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A Novel Data-Driven Method to Estimate Methane Adsorption Isotherm on Coals Using the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree: A Case Study in the Qinshui Basin, China

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  • Jiyuan Zhang

    (Key Laboratory of Unconventional Oil & Gas Development, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China
    School of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China)

  • Qihong Feng

    (Key Laboratory of Unconventional Oil & Gas Development, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China
    School of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China)

  • Xianmin Zhang

    (Key Laboratory of Unconventional Oil & Gas Development, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China
    School of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao 266580, China)

  • Qiujia Hu

    (PetroChina Huabei Oilfield Co., Renqiu 062552, China)

  • Jiaosheng Yang

    (PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Langfang Branch, Langfang 065007, China)

  • Ning Wang

    (PetroChina Huabei Oilfield Co., Renqiu 062552, China)

Abstract

The accurate determination of methane adsorption isotherms in coals is crucial for both the evaluation of underground coalbed methane (CBM) reserves and design of development strategies for enhancing CBM recovery. However, the experimental measurement of high-pressure methane adsorption isotherms is extremely tedious and time-consuming. This paper proposed the use of an ensemble machine learning (ML) method, namely the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), in order to accurately estimate methane adsorption isotherms based on coal properties in the Qinshui basin, China. The GBDT method was trained to correlate the adsorption amount with coal properties (ash, fixed carbon, moisture, vitrinite, and vitrinite reflectance) and experimental conditions (pressure, equilibrium moisture, and temperature). The results show that the estimated adsorption amounts agree well with the experimental ones, which prove the accuracy and robustness of the GBDT method. A comparison of the GBDT with two commonly used ML methods, namely the artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM), confirms the superiority of GBDT in terms of generalization capability and robustness. Furthermore, relative importance scanning and univariate analysis based on the constructed GBDT model were conducted, which showed that the fixed carbon and ash contents are primary factors that significantly affect the adsorption isotherms for the coal samples in this study.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiyuan Zhang & Qihong Feng & Xianmin Zhang & Qiujia Hu & Jiaosheng Yang & Ning Wang, 2020. "A Novel Data-Driven Method to Estimate Methane Adsorption Isotherm on Coals Using the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree: A Case Study in the Qinshui Basin, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-21, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:20:p:5369-:d:428337
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    References listed on IDEAS

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