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Stochastic Unit Commitment Based on Multi-Scenario Tree Method Considering Uncertainty

Author

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  • Kyu-Hyung Jo

    (Department of Energy System Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 84 Heukseok-ro, Dongjak-gu, Seoul 156-756, Korea)

  • Mun-Kyeom Kim

    (Department of Energy System Engineering, Chung-Ang University, 84 Heukseok-ro, Dongjak-gu, Seoul 156-756, Korea)

Abstract

With the increasing penetration of renewable energy, it is difficult to schedule unit commitment (UC) in a power system because of the uncertainty associated with various factors. In this paper, a new solution procedure based on a multi-scenario tree method (MSTM) is presented and applied to the proposed stochastic UC problem. In this process, the initial input data of load and wind power are modeled as different levels using the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The load and wind scenarios are generated using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) that considers forecasting errors. These multiple scenarios are applied in the MSTM for solving the stochastic UC problem, including not only the load and wind power uncertainties, but also sudden outages of the thermal unit. When the UC problem has been formulated, the simulation is conducted for 24-h period by using the short-term UC model, and the operating costs and additional reserve requirements are thus obtained. The effectiveness of the proposed solution approach is demonstrated through a case study based on a modified IEEE-118 bus test system.

Suggested Citation

  • Kyu-Hyung Jo & Mun-Kyeom Kim, 2018. "Stochastic Unit Commitment Based on Multi-Scenario Tree Method Considering Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:4:p:740-:d:137931
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mohamed A. Tolba & Hegazy Rezk & Vladimir Tulsky & Ahmed A. Zaki Diab & Almoataz Y. Abdelaziz & Artem Vanin, 2018. "Impact of Optimum Allocation of Renewable Distributed Generations on Distribution Networks Based on Different Optimization Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-33, January.
    2. Bai, Yang & Zhong, Haiwang & Xia, Qing & Kang, Chongqing & Xie, Le, 2015. "A decomposition method for network-constrained unit commitment with AC power flow constraints," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 595-603.
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    4. Ji, Bin & Yuan, Xiaohui & Chen, Zhihuan & Tian, Hao, 2014. "Improved gravitational search algorithm for unit commitment considering uncertainty of wind power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 52-62.
    5. Kazemi, Mehdi & Siano, Pierluigi & Sarno, Debora & Goudarzi, Arman, 2016. "Evaluating the impact of sub-hourly unit commitment method on spinning reserve in presence of intermittent generators," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 338-354.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tianyao Zhang & Diyi Chen & Jing Liu & Beibei Xu & Venkateshkumar M, 2020. "A Feasibility Analysis of Controlling a Hybrid Power System over Short Time Intervals," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-21, October.
    2. Ho-Sung Ryu & Mun-Kyeom Kim, 2020. "Two-Stage Optimal Microgrid Operation with a Risk-Based Hybrid Demand Response Program Considering Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-25, November.
    3. L. Alvarado-Barrios & A. Rodríguez del Nozal & A. Tapia & J. L. Martínez-Ramos & D. G. Reina, 2019. "An Evolutionary Computational Approach for the Problem of Unit Commitment and Economic Dispatch in Microgrids under Several Operation Modes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-23, June.
    4. Yong-Rae Lee & Hyung-Joon Kim & Mun-Kyeom Kim, 2021. "Optimal Operation Scheduling Considering Cycle Aging of Battery Energy Storage Systems on Stochastic Unit Commitments in Microgrids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-21, January.
    5. Miguel Carrión & Rafael Zárate-Miñano & Ruth Domínguez, 2018. "A Practical Formulation for Ex-Ante Scheduling of Energy and Reserve in Renewable-Dominated Power Systems: Case Study of the Iberian Peninsula," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-22, July.
    6. Iram Parvez & Jianjian Shen & Ishitaq Hassan & Nannan Zhang, 2021. "Generation of Hydro Energy by Using Data Mining Algorithm for Cascaded Hydropower Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-28, January.

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