IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fis/journl/240329.html

The Impact of Financial Development, Foreign Direct Investment and Geopolitical Risk on CO2 Emissions: Evidence from Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Åžehmus AYDIN
  • Ferhat ÖZTUTUÅž
  • İbrahim Halil POLAT

Abstract

The rise in greenhouse gas emissions, particularly carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚), represents one of the most significant challenges facing humanity's existence in the 21st century. It is crucial to implement the measures to reduce these emissions to achieve environmental sustainability. Turkey, along with many nations, is striving to reduce its COâ‚‚ emissions in accordance with the United Nations' 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. This study explores the effects of financial development (FIN), foreign direct investment (FDI), and geopolitical risk (GPR) on Turkey's COâ‚‚ emissions, using annual data from 1985 to 2022. To investigate long-term relationships among these variables, we apply the RALS-Fourier ADF (RALS-FADF) unit root test, the Fractional Fourier ADL (FFADL) cointegration test, and the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) method. The evidence from the FMOLS show that FIN, FDI, and GPR lead to higher CO2 emissions in Turkey over time. It is concluded that any policies designed to achieve a sustainable environmental quality in Turkey must consider mitigating the negative effects of the financial development, foreign direct investment and geopolitical risks on the environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Åžehmus AYDIN & Ferhat ÖZTUTUÅž & İbrahim Halil POLAT, 2024. "The Impact of Financial Development, Foreign Direct Investment and Geopolitical Risk on CO2 Emissions: Evidence from Turkey," Fiscaoeconomia, Tubitak Ulakbim JournalPark (Dergipark), issue 3.
  • Handle: RePEc:fis:journl:240329
    DOI: 10.25295/fsecon.1513450
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/4058551
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.25295/fsecon.1513450?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kai-Hua Wang & Jia-Min Kan & Cui-Feng Jiang & Chi-Wei Su, 2022. "Is Geopolitical Risk Powerful Enough to Affect Carbon Dioxide Emissions? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-16, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Ugur Korkut Pata, 2023. "The Function of Geopolitical Risk on Carbon Neutrality Under the Shadow of Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Evidence from Russia's Sectoral CO2 Emissions by High-Frequency Data and Quantile-Based Methods," Journal of Sustainable Development Issues (JOSDI), SDIjournals, vol. 1(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Yaghoubi, Mona, 2024. "Executive characteristics as moderators: Exploring the impact of geopolitical risk on capital structure decisions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    3. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Blockchain: A carbon-neutral facilitator or an environmental destroyer?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 604-615.
    4. Haifa Saadaoui & Mesut Dogan & Emna Omri, 2024. "The impacts of hydroelectricity generation, financial development, geopolitical risk, income, and foreign direct investment on carbon emissions in Turkey," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 26(2), pages 239-261, April.
    5. Chen, Huayi & Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2024. "Carbon volatility connectedness and the role of external uncertainties: Evidence from China," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    6. Hela B Hamida, 2024. "Cross-domain dynamics: How geopolitical and climate policy uncertainties shape tourism patterns in the United States," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(7), pages 1835-1856, November.
    7. repec:prg:jnlpol:v:preprint:id:1428 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Yuan Zhu & Jiapeng Dai, 2025. "Racing Towards Carbon Neutrality: Synergy Between Environmental Poverty, Environmental Regulations, Financial Constraints and Political Instability," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2025(Spec.issu), pages 179-214.
    9. Wang, Kai-Hua & Zhao, Yan-Xin & Su, Yun Hsuan & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "Energy security and CO2 emissions: New evidence from time-varying and quantile-varying aspects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    10. Rongrong Li & Qiang Wang & Xueting Li, 2025. "Geopolitical risks and carbon emissions: the mediating effect of industrial structure upgrading," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, December.
    11. Sahbi Farhani & Naif Alsagr, 2026. "Turbulence and Transformation: When Global Shocks Drive Major Emerging Economies' Climate Progress," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 2869-2892, April.
    12. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Wu, Tong & Zhong, Huaming & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in nickel price: What roles do geopolitical risk and speculation play?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Muntasir Murshed, 2026. "Settling Geopolitical Disputes and Overcoming the Carbon Curse to Establish Environmental Sustainability in Asia: A Quantile Regression Analysis," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 2780-2801, April.
    14. Kangyin Y. Dong & Senmiao M. Yang & Jianda D. Wang & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb, 2026. "Does geopolitical risk accelerate climate vulnerability? New evidence from the European Green Deal," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 28(3), pages 841-870, July.
    15. Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Magazzino, Cosimo & Taşkın, Dilvin & Depren, Özer & Ayhan, Fatih, 2025. "Efficiency of green bond, clean energy, oil price, and geopolitical risk on sectoral decarbonization: Evidence from the globe by daily data and marginal effect analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 392(C).
    16. Su, Yu, 2025. "The hidden cost of geopolitical risk: Corporate violations in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    17. Muhammad Zaheer Akhtar & Khalid Zaman & Muhammad Azhar Khan, 2024. "Governance, foreign investment, and growth: the impact of governance indicators, foreign direct investment, economic expansion, and industrialization on carbon emissions," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(12), pages 1-25, December.
    18. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wen, Cui-Ping & Liu, Hong-Wen & Liu, Lu, 2023. "Promotion or hindrance? Exploring the bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and green bonds from an energy perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    19. Talat Ulussever & Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Serpil Kılıç Depren, 2025. "Effect of income, energy consumption, energy prices, political stability, and geopolitical risk on the environment: Evidence from GCC countries by novel quantile-based methods," Energy & Environment, , vol. 36(2), pages 979-1004, March.
    20. Fatma Kızılkaya & Oktay Kızılkaya & Faruk Mike, 2026. "Does geopolitical risk escalate environmental degradation in Turkey? Evidence from a Fourier approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 7085-7106, March.
    21. Wang, Qiang & Zhang, Fuyu & Li, Rongrong & Zhang, Siqi, 2024. "Reinvestigating the impact of natural resource rents on carbon emissions: Novel insights from geopolitical risks and economic complexity," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fis:journl:240329. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Emre Atsan (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://dergipark.org.tr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.