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The Course of Tax Revenue During the Process of Population Aging: Empirical Evidence from Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Ali Gökhan GÖLÇEK
  • Bilal GÖDE

Abstract

Societies undergo continuous socio-economic transformations. One such significant change is the aging of the population, which carries substantial economic and social implications. This study examines the impact of population aging on tax revenues in Turkey, utilizing data spanning from 1971 to 2020. The ARDL cointegration analysis and the FMOLS long-term cointegration estimator were employed for the research. Contrary to the prevailing literature, the analysis results indicate a positive correlation between aging and tax revenue. Specifically, a 1% rise in the median age leads to a 2.71% increase in the share of tax revenues as a percentage of GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Gökhan GÖLÇEK & Bilal GÖDE, 2023. "The Course of Tax Revenue During the Process of Population Aging: Empirical Evidence from Turkey," Fiscaoeconomia, Tubitak Ulakbim JournalPark (Dergipark), issue s1.
    • Handle: RePEc:fis:journl:23s0123
    DOI: 10.25295/fsecon.1348960
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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